
Boston Red Sox
@

Toronto Blue Jays
+120O/U: 7
(-115/-105)-140
(-115/-105)-140
Boston Red Sox Insights
- Ranger Suarez – Over/Under 4.5 Strikeouts (+125/-165)The Toronto Blue Jays have 7 batters in the projected batting order that will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Ranger Suarez today.Explain: Right-handed pitchers perform worse against left-handed hitters (and visa-versa). If several hitters hold this advantage against the pitcher, it can have a huge impact on whether he will perform well or struggle on any given day.
- Trevor Story – Over/Under 0.5 Hits (-155/+120)Trevor Story has primarily hit in the top-half of the batting order this year (74% of the time), but he is penciled in 6th in the lineup in this game.Explain: The lower in the order a player bats, the fewer plate appearances he will get and the fewer opportunities he will get to hit the Over for every market. A player who hits lower in the order than he normally does may provide extra value opportunity since the market may be based on him hitting higher.
- Boston Red Sox – 2H MoneylineThe Boston Red Sox bullpen profiles as the 3rd-best in MLB, per the leading projection system (THE BAT).Explain: Most bettors only consider the starting pitcher, but a strong bullpen sneakily creates a tougher matchup for the opposing offense and suppresses a game’s runs.
Toronto Blue Jays Insights
- Dylan Cease – Over/Under 7.5 Strikeouts (+105/-135)Dylan Cease’s 97.3-mph fastball velocity this year is in the 95th percentile out of all starters.Explain: Velocity is a key component to fastball success in generating strikeouts and preventing runs.
- Daulton Varsho – Over/Under 0.5 RBIs (+220/-300)Daulton Varsho’s average exit velocity has dropped off this season; his 89.5-mph mark last season has fallen to 85.2-mph.Explain: Hitting the ball hard increases the chances of either a home run or the ball landing in fair territory for a hit before a fielder can get to it.
- Vladimir Guerrero Jr – Over/Under 1.5 Total Bases (+110/-140)Vladimir Guerrero Jr. projects as the 5th-best batter in the game, via the leading projection system (THE BAT X).Explain: THE BAT X is a highly sophisticated projection system that accounts for a multitude of factors and regularly tests among the most accurate systems available.
