Watch the Game Highlights for Pirates vs D-Backs – Tuesday, May 27, 2025

Pittsburgh Pirates

@

Arizona Diamondbacks

The Arizona Diamondbacks will host the Pittsburgh Pirates at Chase Field on May 27, 2025. Arizona enters this matchup with a .500 record of 27-27, while Pittsburgh struggles with a dismal 19-36 mark. The Diamondbacks’ recent performance has been steadier, with the team showcasing one of the strongest offenses in MLB, currently ranking 4th overall. This potency at the plate will be crucial as they face a Pirates team that boasts the 29th best offense this season.

In their most recent outing, the Diamondbacks defeated the Pirates, continuing their upward trajectory. Arizona’s Corbin Burnes is expected to take the mound, carrying a solid 2.73 ERA this season and standing as the 32nd best starting pitcher according to advanced stats. Burnes projects to pitch 5.8 innings, allowing 2.3 earned runs and striking out 5.6 batters, providing Arizona with a reliable performance on the hill. However, he has also shown vulnerability, with a concerning projection of allowing 5.2 hits and 1.7 walks.

On the other side, the Pirates will counter with Michael Burrows, who has had a rough start to the season, highlighted by a 7.20 ERA in just one start. Burrows struggles with control, evident in his high walk rate of 10.0%, which could play into the Diamondbacks’ hands as they rank 5th in MLB for drawing walks.

With Arizona’s offensive firepower and a sharp pitching advantage, the Diamondbacks appear poised to take another win against a Pirates team that continues to face significant challenges this season. As the game total is set at 8.5 runs, bettors may consider diving into the Diamondbacks’ strong offensive projections against a struggling Pittsburgh squad.

Arizona Diamondbacks Insights

• Arizona Diamondbacks – Moneyline (-260)
  The Arizona Diamondbacks outfield defense projects as the strongest out of every team playing today.
  Explain: Defense is an integral part of preventing hits and runs.
• According to the leading projection system (THE BAT X), the projected lineup for the Arizona Diamondbacks in this game owns an estimated true talent wOBA of .322, which is considerably lower than their actual wOBA of .337 this year.
  Explain: Betting lines are often based on seasonal team quality. If today’s lineup is watered down, however, there may be value if markets aren’t accounting for the lower quality of this offense.

Betting Trends

• Arizona Diamondbacks – 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line -1.0 (-145)
  The Arizona Diamondbacks have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 25 of their last 37 games (+13.10 Units / 29% ROI)
• Pittsburgh Pirates – Over/Under 3.5 Team Total (+110/-140)
  The Pittsburgh Pirates have hit the Team Total Under in 27 of their last 42 games (+10.60 Units / 22% ROI)