
Tampa Bay Rays
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Los Angeles Dodgers
+135O/U: 7
(-120/+100)-155
(-120/+100)-155
Tampa Bay Rays Insights
- Tampa Bay Rays – Moneyline (+135)Among every team today, the worst infield defense is that of the the Tampa Bay Rays.Explain: Defense is an integral part of preventing (or, in this case, allowing) hits and runs.
- Cedric Mullins – Over/Under 0.5 Hits (-135/+105)Cedric Mullins has primarily hit in the back-half of the batting order this season (79% of the time), but he is penciled in 3rd in the lineup in this game.Explain: The higher in the order a player bats, the more plate appearances he will get and the more opportunities he will get to hit the Over for every market. A player who hits higher in the order than he normally does may provide extra value opportunity since the market may be based on him hitting lower.
- The Tampa Bay Rays (20.1 K% (via the leading projection system, THE BAT X) project to have the 3rd-least strikeout-heavy team of batters on the slate today.Explain: THE BAT X analyzes each player in today’s specific lineup to figure out which teams have the least inherent strikeout potential for the opposing pitcher.
Los Angeles Dodgers Insights
- Shohei Ohtani – Over/Under 17.5 Pitching Outs (-185/+140)Shohei Ohtani has been given a longer leash than the average pitcher this year, tallying 4.0 more adjusted pitches-per-outing than league average.Explain: Pitchers with a longer leash are more likely to go deeper into games and record more outs.
- Los Angeles Dodgers – 2H MoneylineAccording to the leading projection system (THE BAT), the Los Angeles Dodgers’ bullpen grades out as the 7th-best among all major league teams.Explain: Most bettors only consider the starting pitcher, but a strong bullpen sneakily creates a tougher matchup for the opposing offense and suppresses a game’s runs.
Betting Trends
- Los Angeles Dodgers – 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line -0.5 (-120)The Los Angeles Dodgers have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 20 of their last 30 games (+8.05 Units / 21% ROI)
- Tampa Bay Rays – Over/Under 1.5 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total (+110/-145)The Tampa Bay Rays have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 16 of their last 24 games (+6.45 Units / 22% ROI)
- Junior Caminero – Over/Under 0.5 Hits (-165/+125)Junior Caminero has hit the Hits Over in 19 of his last 25 games (+13.45 Units / 27% ROI)
