Betting Tips and Odds for Padres vs Cardinals – Wednesday June 17th, 2026

San Diego Padres

@

St. Louis Cardinals

San Diego Padres Insights

• Griffin Canning – Over/Under Strikeouts
  Griffin Canning’s four-seamer usage has decreased by 9.1% from last season to this one (34.7% to 25.6%) .
  Explain: Fastballs are the one easiest pitches to hit and generate few strikeouts, so a pitcher who begins to use his fastball lessoften will likely be more effective than he used to be.

St. Louis Cardinals Insights

• Kyle Leahy – Over/Under Strikeouts
  Kyle Leahy’s 2187-rpm spin rate on his fastball this year is a sizeable 187-rpm drop off from last year’s 2374-rpm rate.
  Explain: Spin rate is a key component to fastball success in generating strikeouts and preventing runs, so a pitcher whose spin rate worsens will likely see worsened results as well.
• Alec Burleson – Over/Under Hits
  Alec Burleson’s batting average ability is projected to be in the 95th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).
  Explain: THE BAT X is a highly sophisticated projection system that accounts for a multitude of factors and regularly tests among the most accurate systems available. Batting average is the most common measure of a player’s ability to generate hits.
• St. Louis Cardinals – 2H Moneyline
  According to the leading projection system (THE BAT), the St. Louis Cardinals’ bullpen projects as the 7th-best among all MLB teams.
  Explain: Most bettors only consider the starting pitcher, but a strong bullpen sneakily creates a tougher matchup for the opposing offense and suppresses a game’s runs.