
Los Angeles Angels
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Arizona Diamondbacks
+145O/U: 9
(-110/-110)-165
(-110/-110)-165
Los Angeles Angels Insights
- Samuel Aldegheri – Over/Under 2.5 Strikeouts (-125/-105)With 8 hitters of the opposite hand in the opposing team’s projected lineup, Sam Aldegheri will be in a tough position while lacking the platoon advantage in most plate appearances in today’s game.Explain: Right-handed pitchers perform worse against left-handed hitters (and visa-versa). If several hitters hold this advantage against the pitcher, it can have a huge impact on whether he will perform well or struggle on any given day.
- Oswald Peraza – Over/Under 0.5 Hits (-185/+145)Oswald Peraza is penciled in 4th in the lineup in this matchup, which would be an upgrade from his 76% rate of hitting in the bottom-half of the batting order this season.Explain: The higher in the order a player bats, the more plate appearances he will get and the more opportunities he will get to hit the Over for every market. A player who hits higher in the order than he normally does may provide extra value opportunity since the market may be based on him hitting lower.
Arizona Diamondbacks Insights
- Eduardo Rodriguez – Over/Under 4.5 Strikeouts (-145/+115)Among all starting pitchers, Eduardo Rodriguez’s fastball velocity of 91.5 mph is in the 12th percentile this year.Explain: Velocity is a key component to fastball success in generating strikeouts and preventing runs.
- Gabriel Moreno – Over/Under 1.5 Total Bases (+120/-155)Gabriel Moreno has a 98th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (39.8%) and will be challenged by MLB’s 3rd-deepest RF fences in today’s matchup.Explain: This player’s skill set does not match up particularly well with the park he’s in today, which may lead to worse-than-usual performance.
Betting Trends
- Arizona Diamondbacks – Over/Under 1st Five Innings (F5) Team TotalThe Arizona Diamondbacks have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 37 of their last 50 games (+23.50 Units / 40% ROI)
- Los Angeles Angels – 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line +0.5 (-115)The Los Angeles Angels have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 17 of their last 23 games (+10.75 Units / 39% ROI)
