Watch the Game Highlights for Astros vs Guardians – Monday, April 20, 2026

Houston Astros

@

Cleveland Guardians

Houston Astros Insights

• Spencer Arrighetti – Over/Under 4.5 Strikeouts (-135/+105)
  In his last game started, Spencer Arrighetti was firing on all cylinders and put up 10 strikeouts.
  Explain: A pitcher who was strong in his last outing may be sharp once again in his next outing.
• Houston Astros – 2H Moneyline
  The Houston Astros bullpen projects as the 7th-best in Major League Baseball, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT).
  Explain: Most bettors only consider the starting pitcher, but a strong bullpen sneakily creates a tougher matchup for the opposing offense and suppresses a game’s runs.

Cleveland Guardians Insights

• Slade Cecconi – Over/Under 16.5 Pitching Outs (-110/-120)
  Tallying 16.9 outs per start since the start of last season on average, Slade Cecconi ranks in the 79th percentile.
  Explain: A pitcher who averages more outs per start than his Outs prop may be a good bet to go over, and visa-versa for the under.
• George Valera – Over/Under 0.5 Hits (-120/-110)
  George Valera is projected to bat 6th on the lineup card in this matchup, which would be a downgrade from his 100% rate of hitting in the top-half of the lineup this season.
  Explain: The lower in the order a player bats, the fewer plate appearances he will get and the fewer opportunities he will get to hit the Over for every market. A player who hits lower in the order than he normally does may provide extra value opportunity since the market may be based on him hitting higher.
• Jose Ramirez – Over/Under 1.5 Total Bases (+135/-175)
  Jose Ramirez pulls a lot of his flyballs (42.3% — 99th percentile) and has the good fortune of hitting them towards the game’s 6th-shallowest RF fences in today’s matchup.
  Explain: This player’s skill set matches up particularly well with the park he’s in today, which may lead to better-than-usual performance.

Betting Trends

• Cleveland Guardians – Moneyline (-135)
  The Cleveland Guardians have hit the Moneyline in 16 of their last 23 games at home (+7.65 Units / 26% ROI)
• Houston Astros – Over/Under 1.5 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total (-130/+100)
  The Houston Astros have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 16 of their last 25 games (+6.60 Units / 23% ROI)
• Jose Altuve – Over/Under 0.5 Runs (+155/-205)
  Jose Altuve has hit the Runs Under in 12 of his last 15 away games (+8.75 Units / 44% ROI)