Get Bets and Betting Tips for Tigers vs Red Sox – 4/20/2026

Detroit Tigers

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Boston Red Sox

Detroit Tigers Insights

• Jack Flaherty – Over/Under 5.5 Strikeouts (-135/+105)
  In his previous GS, Jack Flaherty struggled when it came to striking hitters out and only managed to tally 2 Ks.
  Explain: A pitcher who struggled in his last outing may have something wrong that affects him in his next outing as well.
• Colt Keith – Over/Under 1.5 Total Bases (+145/-190)
  Based on Statcast metrics, the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s version of Expected HR per 600 plate appearances (20.5) may lead us to conclude that Colt Keith has had some very poor luck since the start of last season with his 14.6 actual HR/600.
  Explain: xHR uses highly advanced Statcast data to measure a player’s home run ability more accurately than actual home runs can.
• Detroit Tigers – 2H Moneyline
  The Detroit Tigers bullpen ranks as the 8th-worst in the league, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT).
  Explain: Most bettors only consider the starting pitcher, but a weak bullpen sneakily creates an easier matchup for the opposing offense and boosts a game’s runs.

Boston Red Sox Insights

• Sonny Gray – Over/Under 17.5 Pitching Outs (-105/-125)
  Generating 16.8 outs per outing since the start of last season on average, Sonny Gray places in the 76th percentile.
  Explain: A pitcher who averages more outs per start than his Outs prop may be a good bet to go over, and visa-versa for the under.
• Jarren Duran – Over/Under 0.5 Hits (-185/+140)
  Jarren Duran has primarily hit in the top-half of the batting order this year (94% of the time), but he is penciled in 6th in the lineup in today’s game.
  Explain: The lower in the order a player bats, the fewer plate appearances he will get and the fewer opportunities he will get to hit the Over for every market. A player who hits lower in the order than he normally does may provide extra value opportunity since the market may be based on him hitting higher.
• Marcelo Mayer – Over/Under 0.5 Total Bases (-135/+105)
  Marcelo Mayer has a 95th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (37.2%) and is a great match for the park considering he’ll be hitting them out towards baseball’s shallowest LF fences today.
  Explain: This player’s skill set matches up particularly well with the park he’s in today, which may lead to better-than-usual performance.

Betting Trends

• Over/Under 8.5 Game Total (-105/-115)
  The Boston Red Sox have hit the Game Total Under in 14 of their last 22 games at home (+6.45 Units / 27% ROI)
• Detroit Tigers – Run Line +1.5 (-175)
  The Detroit Tigers have hit the Run Line in 7 of their last 12 games (+4.80 Units / 33% ROI)
• Wilyer Abreu – Over/Under 1.5 Total Bases (+120/-155)
  Wilyer Abreu has hit the Total Bases Under in 11 of his last 15 games at home (+5.90 Units / 27% ROI)