
Detroit Tigers
@

Boston Red Sox
+115O/U: 8
(-105/-115)-140
(-105/-115)-140
Detroit Tigers Insights
- Jack Flaherty – Over/Under 5.5 Strikeouts (-160/+125)In his previous GS, Jack Flaherty struggled when it came to striking hitters out and only managed to tally 2 Ks.Explain: A pitcher who struggled in his last outing may have something wrong that affects him in his next outing as well.
- Spencer Torkelson – Over/Under 0.5 RBIs (+240/-330)Spencer Torkelson is an extreme flyball hitter and matches up with the strong outfield defense of Boston (#2-best of all teams today).Explain: This player’s skill set matches up poorly with the opposing team’s defensive strength, which may lead to worse-than-usual performance.
- Detroit Tigers – 2H MoneylineThe Detroit Tigers bullpen ranks as the 6th-worst in the league, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT).Explain: Most bettors only consider the starting pitcher, but a weak bullpen sneakily creates an easier matchup for the opposing offense and boosts a game’s runs.
Boston Red Sox Insights
- Sonny Gray – Over/Under 16.5 Pitching Outs (-130/+100)Generating 16.8 outs per outing since the start of last season on average, Sonny Gray places in the 76th percentile.Explain: A pitcher who averages more outs per start than his Outs prop may be a good bet to go over, and visa-versa for the under.
- Wilyer Abreu – Over/Under 1.5 Total Bases (+130/-170)Wilyer Abreu has struggled with his Barrel% of late; his 13.5% seasonal rate has dropped to 0% in the past week.Explain: Barrel% measures how often a player hits the ball at the optimal exit velocity and launch angle and is a terrific measure of underlying power.
- Marcelo Mayer – Over/Under Total BasesMarcelo Mayer has a 95th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (37.2%) and is a great match for the park considering he’ll be hitting them out towards baseball’s shallowest LF fences today.Explain: This player’s skill set matches up particularly well with the park he’s in today, which may lead to better-than-usual performance.
