
Philadelphia Phillies
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Los Angeles Dodgers
+200O/U: 9
(-110/-110)-235
(-110/-110)-235
Philadelphia Phillies Insights
- Andrew Painter – Over/Under 3.5 Strikeouts (-105/-125)The Los Angeles Dodgers have 7 bats in the projected batting order that will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Andrew Painter in this matchup.Explain: Right-handed pitchers perform worse against left-handed hitters (and visa-versa). If several hitters hold this advantage against the pitcher, it can have a huge impact on whether he will perform well or struggle on any given day.
- Bryce Harper – Over/Under 1.5 Total Bases (+130/-170)Bryce Harper has seen a big gain in his exit velocity on flyballs this year; just compare his 96.1-mph average to last year’s 93.7-mph mark.Explain: Most home runs are flyballs, and the harder those flyballs are hit, the more often they turn into home runs. This is a strong indicator of power.
- Philadelphia Phillies – Moneyline (+200)The Philadelphia Phillies projected lineup projects as the 3rd-best of all teams on the slate today in terms of overall hitting skill.Explain: A pitcher who faces a strong opposing offense will be more likely to underperform his usual performance, particularly in terms of hits and runs, in that game.
Los Angeles Dodgers Insights
- Yoshinobu Yamamoto – Over/Under 6.5 Strikeouts (+105/-135)Yoshinobu Yamamoto’s 95.1-mph fastball velocity this year grades out in the 76th percentile among all starting pitchers.Explain: Velocity is a key component to fastball success in generating strikeouts and preventing runs.
- Los Angeles Dodgers – 2H MoneylineThe Los Angeles Dodgers bullpen projects as the 5th-best in the game, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT).Explain: Most bettors only consider the starting pitcher, but a strong bullpen sneakily creates a tougher matchup for the opposing offense and suppresses a game’s runs.
Betting Trends
- Over/Under 9.0 Game Total (-110/-110)The Los Angeles Dodgers have hit the Game Total Under in 12 of their last 16 games at home (+7.70 Units / 45% ROI)
- Philadelphia Phillies – Moneyline (+200)The Philadelphia Phillies have hit the Moneyline in 21 of their last 30 games (+9.00 Units / 21% ROI)
- Kyle Schwarber – Over/Under 0.5 Walks (+120/-155)Kyle Schwarber has hit the Walks Under in 17 of his last 25 games (+8.30 Units / 28% ROI)
