Score Updates for Rangers vs Yankees - 5/5/26

+115O/U: 9
(-105/-115)-135

Jacob deGrom – Over/Under 6.5 Strikeouts (+115/-145)
Jacob deGrom has used his slider 8.6% less often this season (29%) than he did last season (37.6%).
Explain: Because sliders are one of the most effective pitches to use, a pitcher who alters his pitch mix to use them less often may see less success as a result, particularly if he uses his fastball more instead.
Danny Jansen – Over/Under 0.5 Total Bases (-125/-105)
Extreme flyball bats like Danny Jansen generally hit better against extreme groundball pitchers like Elmer Rodriguez-Cruz.
Explain: This mostly has to do with the way the hitter’s swing plane interacts with the pitch trajectory, and it can create boosted performance across all categories and hidden value few are considering.
Danny Jansen – Over/Under 0.5 Total Bases (-125/-105)
Danny Jansen pulls a high percentage of his flyballs (42.8% — 100th percentile) and will have to hit them out towards baseball’s 8th-deepest LF fences today.
Explain: This player’s skill set does not match up particularly well with the park he’s in today, which may lead to worse-than-usual performance.

New York Yankees – 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline (+100)
In his last game started, Elmer Rodriguez was rolling and allowed 2 ER.
Explain: A pitcher who was strong in his last outing may be sharp once again in his next outing.
Paul Goldschmidt – Over/Under 0.5 Hits (-180/+135)
Paul Goldschmidt has primarily hit in the top-half of the lineup this season (80% of the time), but he is projected to hit 6th in the batting order in this game.
Explain: The lower in the order a player bats, the fewer plate appearances he will get and the fewer opportunities he will get to hit the Over for every market. A player who hits lower in the order than he normally does may provide extra value opportunity since the market may be based on him hitting higher.
Elmer Rodriguez-Cruz – Over/Under 4.5 Strikeouts (+115/-145)
According to the leading projection system (THE BAT), Austin Wells (the Yankees’s expected catcher today) projects as an elite pitch framer.
Explain: Pitch framing is a catcher’s ability to make a ball look like a strike to the umpire, “stealing” strikes for his pitcher. This leads to more positive outcomes (like strikeouts) and fewer negative ones (like walks or earned runs).

New York Yankees – Moneyline (-135)
The New York Yankees have hit the Moneyline in 15 of their last 19 games (+7.85 Units / 24% ROI)
Over/Under 9.0 Game Total (-105/-115)
The Texas Rangers have hit the Game Total Over in 26 of their last 45 away games (+6.15 Units / 12% ROI)
Cody Bellinger – Over/Under 0.5 Home Runs (+430/-690)
Cody Bellinger has hit the Home Runs Over in 2 of his last 6 games at home (+7.40 Units / 123% ROI)

WriteNow™ by EV Analytics