
New York Mets
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Toronto Blue Jays
+100O/U: 8
(-110/-110)-120
(-110/-110)-120
New York Mets Insights
- New York Mets – 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline (+100)Nolan McLean is an extreme groundball pitcher (48.8% GB% according to the leading projection system, THE BAT), which should make him somewhat immune to the dangers of pitching in Rogers Centre — the #5 HR venue among all major league stadiums — in today’s game.Explain: This pitcher’s skill set matches up particularly well with the park he’s in today, which may lead to better-than-expected performance.
- Bo Bichette – Over/Under 1.5 Hits (+190/-255)As it relates to his batting average skill, Bo Bichette is projected as the 7th-best batter in baseball by the leading projection system (THE BAT X).Explain: THE BAT X is a highly sophisticated projection system that accounts for a multitude of factors and regularly tests among the most accurate systems available. Batting average is the most common measure of a player’s ability to generate hits.
- New York Mets – Moneyline (+100)The New York Mets projected offense grades out as the 3rd-strongest on the slate today in terms of overall hitting skill.Explain: A pitcher who faces a strong opposing offense will be more likely to underperform his usual performance, particularly in terms of hits and runs, in that game.
Toronto Blue Jays Insights
- Kevin Gausman – Over/Under 5.5 Strikeouts (-125/-105)Given his reverse platoon split, Kevin Gausman will be at an advantage matching up with 6 batters in the projected lineup of the opposite hand in today’s matchup.Explain: A pitcher with a reverse platoon split will perform better against opposite-handed hitters (i.e. a right-handed pitcher will be better against a left-handed hitter). Holding this advantage against several hitters can have a huge impact on whether a pitcher will perform well or struggle on any given day.
- Yohendrick Pinango – Over/Under 0.5 Hits (-145/+110)Yohendrick Pinango is projected to hit 8th in the batting order in this matchup, which would be a downgrade from his 63% rate of hitting in the top-half of the batting order this year.Explain: The lower in the order a player bats, the fewer plate appearances he will get and the fewer opportunities he will get to hit the Over for every market. A player who hits lower in the order than he normally does may provide extra value opportunity since the market may be based on him hitting higher.
- Toronto Blue Jays – 2H MoneylineAccording to the leading projection system (THE BAT), the Toronto Blue Jays’ bullpen grades out as the best out of all teams in Major League Baseball.Explain: Most bettors only consider the starting pitcher, but a strong bullpen sneakily creates a tougher matchup for the opposing offense and suppresses a game’s runs.
