Check Out the Orioles vs Rays Best Bets and Expert Picks – Sunday August 16, 2026

Baltimore Orioles

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Tampa Bay Rays

Baltimore Orioles Insights

• Trevor Rogers – Over/Under 4.5 Strikeouts (+115/-145)
  Trevor Rogers’s 2473-rpm fastball spin rate this year ranks in the 88th percentile out of all starting pitchers.
  Explain: Spin rate is a key component to fastball success in generating strikeouts and preventing runs.
• Coby Mayo – Over/Under 0.5 Hits (+100/-130)
  Coby Mayo has primarily hit in the back-half of the batting order this season (78% of the time), but he is penciled in 3rd in the batting order today.
  Explain: The higher in the order a player bats, the more plate appearances he will get and the more opportunities he will get to hit the Over for every market. A player who hits higher in the order than he normally does may provide extra value opportunity since the market may be based on him hitting lower.
• The Baltimore Orioles (26.4% K% (per the leading projection system, THE BAT X) project to have the most strikeout-heavy team of hitters on the slate today.
  Explain: THE BAT X analyzes each player in today’s specific lineup to figure out which teams have the most inherent strikeout potential for the opposing pitcher.

Tampa Bay Rays Insights

• Freddy Peralta – Over/Under 16.5 Pitching Outs (+100/-130)
  Freddy Peralta has been granted more leash than the average pitcher this year, throwing 5.1 more adjusted pitches-per-start than the average hurler.
  Explain: Pitchers with a longer leash are more likely to go deeper into games and record more outs.
• Liam Hicks – Over/Under Total Bases
  Liam Hicks has been cold recently, with his seasonal exit velocity of 84.9-mph dropping to 77.4-mph in the past week.
  Explain: Hitting the ball hard increases the chances of either a home run or the ball landing in fair territory for a hit before a fielder can get to it.
• Tampa Bay Rays hitters as a unit place 29th- in MLB for power this year when judging by their 6.1% Barrel%.
  Explain: Barrel% measures how often a player hits the ball at the optimal exit velocity and launch angle and is a terrific measure of underlying power.