Read the Game Recap for Red Sox vs Pirates – August 16th, 2026

Boston Red Sox

@

Pittsburgh Pirates

Boston Red Sox Insights

• Boston Red Sox – Moneyline (-120)
  The Boston Red Sox outfield defense profiles as the 2nd-strongest among all the teams playing today.
  Explain: Defense is an integral part of preventing hits and runs.
• Boston Red Sox – 2H Moneyline
  According to the leading projection system (THE BAT), the Boston Red Sox’ bullpen grades out as the 8th-best among all teams in Major League Baseball.
  Explain: Most bettors only consider the starting pitcher, but a strong bullpen sneakily creates a tougher matchup for the opposing offense and suppresses a game’s runs.

Pittsburgh Pirates Insights

• Paul Skenes – Over/Under Pitching Outs
  Compared to the average hurler, Paul Skenes has been granted more leash than the average pitcher this year, tallying an additional 6.8 adjusted pitches each start.
  Explain: Pitchers with a longer leash are more likely to go deeper into games and record more outs.
• Ronny Simon – Over/Under 0.5 Hits (-195/+150)
  Ronny Simon is projected to bat 2nd in the lineup in this game, which would be an upgrade from his 83% rate of hitting in the bottom-half of the lineup this year.
  Explain: The higher in the order a player bats, the more plate appearances he will get and the more opportunities he will get to hit the Over for every market. A player who hits higher in the order than he normally does may provide extra value opportunity since the market may be based on him hitting lower.
• Henry Davis – Over/Under Total Bases
  Henry Davis pulls a high percentage of his flyballs (38.6% — 95th percentile) and has the misfortune of hitting them in the direction of the league’s 10th-deepest LF fences today.
  Explain: This player’s skill set does not match up particularly well with the park he’s in today, which may lead to worse-than-usual performance.