Player Stats for Marlins vs Giants - April 24th, 2026

-110O/U: 7.5
(-110/-110)-110

Sandy Alcantara – Over/Under 18.5 Pitching Outs (+125/-160)
Compared to league average, Sandy Alcantara has been granted more leash than the average pitcher since the start of last season, recording an extra 6.1 adjusted pitches each start.
Explain: Pitchers with a longer leash are more likely to go deeper into games and record more outs.
Kyle Stowers – Over/Under 1.5 Total Bases (+120/-150)
Kyle Stowers has strong power (94th percentile) if he makes contact, but that’s always far from assured (28.3% K%). Today, however, opposing pitcher Adrian Houser has a pitch-to-contact profile (17th percentile K%) — great news for Stowers.
Explain: If he is less likely to strikeout, he’ll be more likely to make contact, which is often hard, home-run contact.
Otto Lopez – Over/Under 1.5 Total Bases (+120/-155)
Otto Lopez has a 91st percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (35.8%) and has the good fortune of hitting them out towards MLB’s 2nd-shallowest RF fences in today’s matchup.
Explain: This player’s skill set matches up particularly well with the park he’s in today, which may lead to better-than-usual performance.

Adrian Houser – Over/Under 3.5 Strikeouts (-110/-120)
Adrian Houser’s sinker percentage has fallen by 6% from last season to this one (45.9% to 39.9%) .
Explain: Sinkers are the easiest pitches to hit and generate the fewest strikeouts, so a pitcher who begins to use his sinker less often will likely be more effective than he used to be.
Heliot Ramos – Over/Under 0.5 Total Bases (-180/+140)
Heliot Ramos has been hot of late, raising his seasonal exit velocity of 91.8-mph to 98.2-mph over the last week.
Explain: Hitting the ball hard increases the chances of either a home run or the ball landing in fair territory for a hit before a fielder can get to it.
The San Francisco Giants have been the 5th-unluckiest offense in the majors this year, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X), and are likely to positively regress in future games
Explain: When teams underperform their projected talent level, markets may undervalue them even while they are likely to perform better in the near future.

San Francisco Giants – Over/Under 3.5 Team Total (-120/-110)
The San Francisco Giants have hit the Team Total Under in 15 of their last 25 games (+4.40 Units / 16% ROI)
Miami Marlins – Over/Under 3.5 Team Total (-135/+105)
The Miami Marlins have hit the Team Total Over in 27 of their last 45 games (+7.25 Units / 14% ROI)
Jung Hoo Lee – Over/Under 1.5 Total Bases (+150/-195)
Jung Hoo Lee has hit the Total Bases Under in 7 of his last 9 games at home (+5.20 Units / 34% ROI)

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