Discover the Game Time for Red Sox vs Orioles – Saturday April 25, 2026

Boston Red Sox

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Baltimore Orioles

Boston Red Sox Insights

• Garrett Crochet – Over/Under 7.5 Strikeouts (-120/-110)
  Garrett Crochet has relied on his sinker 8.6% more often this season (24.5%) than he did last season (15.9%).
  Explain: Sinkers are the easiest pitches to hit and generate the fewest strikeouts, so a pitcher who begins to use his sinker more often will likely be less effective than he used to be.
• Wilyer Abreu – Over/Under 1.5 Total Bases (+130/-170)
  Wilyer Abreu is likely to have an advantage against every reliever for the whole game, since the bullpen of the Baltimore Orioles has just 1 same-handed RP.
  Explain: Hitters perform worse against pitchers of the same handedness (i.e. righty-vs-righty), and being able to avoid those matchups against the bullpen boosts performance and creates hidden edge.
• The Boston Red Sox have been the 2nd-unluckiest offense in baseball this year, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X), and are likely to positively regress the rest of the season
  Explain: When teams underperform their projected talent level, markets may undervalue them even while they are likely to perform better in the near future.

Baltimore Orioles Insights

• Baltimore Orioles – Moneyline (-110)
  Among every team today, the 2nd-weakest infield defense is that of the the Baltimore Orioles.
  Explain: Defense is an integral part of preventing (or, in this case, allowing) hits and runs.
• Jeremiah Jackson – Over/Under 0.5 Hits (-160/+125)
  Based on Statcast metrics, the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s version of Expected Batting Average (.215) provides evidence that Jeremiah Jackson has had positive variance on his side since the start of last season with his .282 actual batting average.
  Explain: xBA uses highly advanced Statcast data to measure a player’s batting average ability more accurately than actual batting average can.
• Baltimore Orioles batters jointly rank near the top of the league this year (5th-) when it comes to their 89.8-mph average exit velocity.
  Explain: Hitting the ball hard increases the chances of either a home run or the ball landing in fair territory for a hit before a fielder can get to it.