
Chicago Cubs
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Los Angeles Dodgers
+140O/U: 9.5
(+100/-120)-165
(+100/-120)-165
Chicago Cubs Insights
- Chicago Cubs – Moneyline (+140)The Chicago Cubs infield defense grades out as the 2nd-best among all the teams today.Explain: Defense is an integral part of preventing hits and runs.
- Ian Happ – Over/Under 0.5 Total Bases (-140/+110)Ian Happ has made big improvements with his Barrel%, bettering his 10.1% rate last season to 15.4% this year.Explain: Barrel% measures how often a player hits the ball at the optimal exit velocity and launch angle and is a terrific measure of underlying power.
- Chicago Cubs – Moneyline (+140)The 3rd-best projected offense of all teams on the slate today in terms of overall batting ability belongs to the Chicago Cubs.Explain: A pitcher who faces a strong opposing offense will be more likely to underperform his usual performance, particularly in terms of hits and runs, in that game.
Los Angeles Dodgers Insights
- Emmet Sheehan – Over/Under 15.5 Pitching Outs (+125/-160)The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Emmet Sheehan to throw 85 pitches in this matchup (6th-least of all pitchers on the slate today), considering both his underlying tendencies and the matchup.Explain: Pitchers who throw relatively few pitches are more likely to get pulled from the game earlier, record fewer outs, and generate fewer strikeouts.
- Max Muncy – Over/Under 0.5 Total Bases (-150/+115)Max Muncy has been hot lately, whalloping 7 homers over the last 14 days.Explain: Strong recent performance may mean the player is seeing the ball well and will continue to hit well in the near-term.
- Los Angeles Dodgers – 2H MoneylineAccording to the leading projection system (THE BAT), the Los Angeles Dodgers’ bullpen projects as the 9th-best among all teams in Major League Baseball.Explain: Most bettors only consider the starting pitcher, but a strong bullpen sneakily creates a tougher matchup for the opposing offense and suppresses a game’s runs.
Betting Trends
- Los Angeles Dodgers – Moneyline (-165)The Los Angeles Dodgers have hit the Moneyline in 28 of their last 40 games (+4.30 Units / 6% ROI)
- Chicago Cubs – Over/Under 4.5 Team Total (+110/-145)The Chicago Cubs have hit the Team Total Over in 20 of their last 30 games (+9.45 Units / 27% ROI)
- Will Smith – Over/Under 0.5 RBIs (+155/-205)Will Smith has hit the RBIs Under in 12 of his last 15 games at home (+6.50 Units / 22% ROI)
