Official Lineup for Athletics vs Phillies – 5/07/2026

Athletics

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Philadelphia Phillies

Athletics Insights

• J.T. Ginn – Over/Under 4.5 Strikeouts (+115/-150)
  Checking in at the 75th percentile, J.T. Ginn recorded an 11.8% Swinging Strike% since the start of last season.
  Explain: Swinging Strike% measures how often a pitcher gets a batter to whiff at a pitch and is regarded to be a strong indicator of strikeout ability and overall pitching talent.
• Jeff McNeil – Over/Under 1.5 Total Bases (+155/-200)
  Jeff McNeil’s exit velocity on flyballs has declined this season; his 89.6-mph mark last year has lowered to 83-mph.
  Explain: Most home runs are flyballs, and the harder those flyballs are hit, the more often they turn into home runs. This is a strong indicator of power.
• Lawrence Butler – Over/Under 1.5 Total Bases (+210/-280)
  Lawrence Butler has a 95th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (37.5%) and has the good fortune of hitting them in the direction of MLB’s 10th-shallowest LF fences today.
  Explain: This player’s skill set matches up particularly well with the park he’s in today, which may lead to better-than-usual performance.

Philadelphia Phillies Insights

• Andrew Painter – Over/Under 15.5 Pitching Outs (+100/-130)
  Andrew Painter has tallied 14.5 outs per game per started this year, ranking in the 23rd percentile.
  Explain: A pitcher who averages more outs per start than his Outs prop may be a good bet to go over, and visa-versa for the under.
• Justin Crawford – Over/Under 1.5 Total Bases (+190/-250)
  Typically, bats like Justin Crawford who hit a lot of flyballs usually hit worse when facing pitchers who also induce a lot of flyballs such as J.T. Ginn.
  Explain: This mostly has to do with the way the hitter’s swing plane interacts with the pitch trajectory, and it can create diminished performance across all categories and hidden value few are considering.
• It may be best to expect better results for the Philadelphia Phillies offense going forward, considering that the leading projection system (THE BAT X) sees them as the 2nd-unluckiest offense in the game this year.
  Explain: When teams underperform their projected talent level, markets may undervalue them even while they are likely to perform better in the near future.