
Colorado Rockies
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Los Angeles Dodgers
+330O/U: 8
(-110/-110)-410
(-110/-110)-410
Colorado Rockies Insights
- Colorado Rockies – Moneyline (+330)Among every team on the slate today, the 3rd-weakest outfield defense belongs to the Colorado Rockies.Explain: Defense is an integral part of preventing (or, in this case, allowing) hits and runs.
- Tyler Freeman – Over/Under 0.5 Total Bases (-150/+115)Sporting a .121 Isolated Power (ISO) since the start of last season, Tyler Freeman is positioned in the 3rd percentile.Explain: ISO is an advanced metric that measures a player’s ability to hit for power. Power, of course, is crucial for hitting home runs and extra-base hits.
- Colorado Rockies – 2H MoneylineAccording to the leading projection system (THE BAT), the Colorado Rockies’ bullpen profiles as the 5th-worst among all the teams in the majors.Explain: Most bettors only consider the starting pitcher, but a weak bullpen sneakily creates an easier matchup for the opposing offense and boosts a game’s runs.
Los Angeles Dodgers Insights
- Shohei Ohtani – Over/Under 18.5 Pitching Outs (-105/-125)Compared to the average hurler, Shohei Ohtani has been granted a longer leash than the average pitcher this year, tallying an extra 3.9 adjusted pitches each outing.Explain: Pitchers with a longer leash are more likely to go deeper into games and record more outs.
- Andy Pages – Over/Under 0.5 Hits (-250/+190)Andy Pages has primarily hit in the back-half of the batting order this year (62% of the time), but he is projected to bat 4th on the lineup card in this game.Explain: The higher in the order a player bats, the more plate appearances he will get and the more opportunities he will get to hit the Over for every market. A player who hits higher in the order than he normally does may provide extra value opportunity since the market may be based on him hitting lower.
- Max Muncy – Over/Under 1.5 Total Bases (+105/-135)In today’s matchup, Max Muncy is at a disadvantage facing the league’s 8th-deepest RF fences given that he hits his flyballs to the pull field at a 40.9% rate (98th percentile).Explain: This player’s skill set does not match up particularly well with the park he’s in today, which may lead to worse-than-usual performance.
Betting Trends
- Los Angeles Dodgers – Over/Under 5.5 Team Total (+100/-130)The Los Angeles Dodgers have hit the Team Total Under in 16 of their last 23 games at home (+7.60 Units / 28% ROI)
- Colorado Rockies – Over/Under 1st Five Innings (F5) Team TotalThe Colorado Rockies have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 4 of their last 6 games (+1.85 Units / 30% ROI)
- Andy Pages – Over/Under 0.5 Home Runs (+430/-690)Andy Pages has hit the Home Runs Over in 2 of his last 4 games (+8.10 Units / 203% ROI)
