Stream the Reds vs Mets Game Live - 5/27/2026

+100O/U: 8.5
(-105/-115)-120

Andrew Abbott – Over/Under 4.5 Strikeouts (+115/-150)
Given the 1.46 deviation between Andrew Abbott’s 6.04 K/9 and his 7.50 estimated true talent K/9 (via the leading projection system, THE BAT), it’s safe to say he’s been one of the unluckiest pitchers in the league this year when it comes to strikeouts and ought to positively regress going forward.
Explain: Pitchers that are underperforming should be expected to pitch better going forward, which can create value on K prop Overs if the lines are too heavily weighing the lucky, to-date underperformance.
Eugenio Suarez – Over/Under 0.5 RBIs (+185/-245)
Grading out in the 98th percentile, Eugenio Suarez has put up a .397 Isolated Power rate (ISO) since the start of last season.
Explain: ISO is an advanced metric that measures a player’s ability to hit for power. Power, of course, is crucial for hitting home runs and extra-base hits.
Nate Lowe – Over/Under 0.5 RBIs (+195/-265)
Nathaniel Lowe has a 97th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (38.5%) and is a great match for the park considering he’ll be hitting them towards the league’s 4th-shallowest LF fences in today’s game.
Explain: This player’s skill set matches up particularly well with the park he’s in today, which may lead to better-than-usual performance.

Tobias Myers – Over/Under Strikeouts
Tobias Myers has put up a 7.8% Swinging Strike rate since the start of last season, grading out in the 16th percentile.
Explain: Swinging Strike% measures how often a pitcher gets a batter to whiff at a pitch and is regarded to be a strong indicator of strikeout ability and overall pitching talent.
Juan Soto – Over/Under 0.5 Hits (-190/+145)
Juan Soto has primarily hit in the top-half of the lineup this year (100% of the time), but he is projected to bat 6th in the batting order in this matchup.
Explain: The lower in the order a player bats, the fewer plate appearances he will get and the fewer opportunities he will get to hit the Over for every market. A player who hits lower in the order than he normally does may provide extra value opportunity since the market may be based on him hitting higher.
The New York Mets have been the unluckiest offense in the game this year, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X), and are likely to perform better in future games
Explain: When teams underperform their projected talent level, markets may undervalue them even while they are likely to perform better in the near future.

New York Mets – Over/Under 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total
The New York Mets have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 15 of their last 22 games (+7.25 Units / 28% ROI)
Over/Under 8.5 Game Total (-105/-115)
The Cincinnati Reds have hit the Game Total Over in 31 of their last 45 games (+15.25 Units / 31% ROI)
Sal Stewart – Over/Under 0.5 RBIs (+165/-220)
Sal Stewart has hit the RBIs Under in 20 of his last 25 games (+10.00 Units / 22% ROI)

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