Discover the Betting Trends for Rays vs Red Sox Game – Thursday, May 7, 2026

Tampa Bay Rays

@

Boston Red Sox

Tampa Bay Rays Insights

• Griffin Jax – Over/Under Pitching Outs
  The leading projection system (THE BAT X) expects Griffin Jax to be on a bit of a short leash today, projecting a maximum of 65 pitches.
  Explain: A pitcher who is on a pitch count is likely to be pulled from the game earlier, record fewer outs, and generate fewer strikeouts.
• Taylor Walls – Over/Under 0.5 Total Bases (-135/+105)
  Taylor Walls’s average exit velocity has declined this season; his 86.4-mph EV last year has lowered to 81-mph.
  Explain: Hitting the ball hard increases the chances of either a home run or the ball landing in fair territory for a hit before a fielder can get to it.
• The 4.4% Barrel% of the Tampa Bay Rays ranks them as the #30 team in MLB this year by this stat.
  Explain: Barrel% measures how often a player hits the ball at the optimal exit velocity and launch angle and is a terrific measure of underlying power.

Boston Red Sox Insights

• Jake Bennett – Over/Under 3.5 Strikeouts (+120/-155)
  The leading projection system (THE BAT) forecasts Jake Bennett in the 19th percentile when assessing his strikeout ability.
  Explain: THE BAT X is a highly sophisticated projection system that accounts for a multitude of factors and regularly tests among the most accurate systems available.
• Wilyer Abreu – Over/Under 1.5 Total Bases (+120/-155)
  Wilyer Abreu is an extreme flyball batter and faces the strong outfield defense of Tampa Bay (#3-best of all teams today).
  Explain: This player’s skill set matches up poorly with the opposing team’s defensive strength, which may lead to worse-than-usual performance.
• Jarren Duran – Over/Under 1.5 Total Bases (+120/-150)
  Jarren Duran has a 94th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (36.9%) and sets up very well considering he’ll be hitting them towards the league’s shallowest LF fences in today’s matchup.
  Explain: This player’s skill set matches up particularly well with the park he’s in today, which may lead to better-than-usual performance.

Betting Trends

• Over/Under 8.5 Game Total (-110/-110)
  The Boston Red Sox have hit the Game Total Under in 18 of their last 25 games at home (+12.50 Units / 46% ROI)
• Tampa Bay Rays – Moneyline (+100)
  The Tampa Bay Rays have hit the Moneyline in 24 of their last 35 games (+13.55 Units / 33% ROI)