
Minnesota Twins
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Chicago White Sox
+105O/U: 8
(-110/-110)-125
(-110/-110)-125
Minnesota Twins Insights
- Connor Prielipp – Over/Under 15.5 Pitching Outs (+135/-175)Connor Prielipp has tallied 14.5 outs per outing this year, placing in the 22nd percentile.Explain: A pitcher who averages more outs per start than his Outs prop may be a good bet to go over, and visa-versa for the under.
- Byron Buxton – Over/Under 1.5 Total Bases (+100/-130)Byron Buxton has notched a .522 Isolated Power rate (ISO) this year, placing in the 100th percentile.Explain: ISO is an advanced metric that measures a player’s ability to hit for power. Power, of course, is crucial for hitting home runs and extra-base hits.
- The Minnesota Twins have 3 batters in their projected offense today with a high (i.e. over 27%) underlying K% (via the leading projection system, THE BAT X) (Tristan Gray, James Outman, Byron Buxton).Explain: Teams that have multiple high-strikeout hitters will make it much easier for the opposing pitcher to record strikeouts
Chicago White Sox Insights
- Chicago White Sox – 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline (-130)The Minnesota Twins have 6 hitters in the projected batting order that will have the handedness advantage over David Sandlin in today’s game.Explain: Right-handed pitchers perform worse against left-handed hitters (and visa-versa). If several hitters hold this advantage against the pitcher, it can have a huge impact on whether he will perform well or struggle on any given day.
- Randal Grichuk – Over/Under 0.5 Hits (-180/+140)Randal Grichuk is penciled in 4th on the lineup card in this matchup, which would be an upgrade from his 73% rate of hitting in the bottom-half of the lineup this year.Explain: The higher in the order a player bats, the more plate appearances he will get and the more opportunities he will get to hit the Over for every market. A player who hits higher in the order than he normally does may provide extra value opportunity since the market may be based on him hitting lower.
- The 10.1% Barrel% of the Chicago White Sox makes them the #3 group of hitters in baseball this year by this stat.Explain: Barrel% measures how often a player hits the ball at the optimal exit velocity and launch angle and is a terrific measure of underlying power.
Betting Trends
- Over/Under 8.0 Game Total (-110/-110)The Chicago White Sox have hit the Game Total Over in 11 of their last 16 games (+6.75 Units / 39% ROI)
- Minnesota Twins – Over/Under 3.5 Team Total (-135/+105)The Minnesota Twins have hit the Team Total Over in 17 of their last 25 away games (+7.85 Units / 26% ROI)
- Randal Grichuk – Over/Under 0.5 Singles (+135/-170)Randal Grichuk has hit the Singles Under in 19 of his last 25 games (+8.65 Units / 19% ROI)
