Mariners vs White Sox Game Time – 5/10/2026

Seattle Mariners

@

Chicago White Sox

Seattle Mariners Insights

• Seattle Mariners – Moneyline (-140)
  Among every team today, the worst infield defense is that of the Seattle Mariners.
  Explain: Defense is an integral part of preventing (or, in this case, allowing) hits and runs.
• Randy Arozarena – Over/Under 0.5 Total Bases (-165/+130)
  Randy Arozarena has struggled with his Barrel% in recent games; his 6% seasonal rate has fallen off to 0% over the past 14 days.
  Explain: Barrel% measures how often a player hits the ball at the optimal exit velocity and launch angle and is a terrific measure of underlying power.
• Logan Gilbert – Over/Under 6.5 Strikeouts (+120/-150)
  Projected catcher Cal Raleigh grades out as an elite pitch framer, per the leading projection system (THE BAT).
  Explain: Pitch framing is a catcher’s ability to make a ball look like a strike to the umpire, “stealing” strikes for his pitcher. This leads to more positive outcomes (like strikeouts) and fewer negative ones (like walks or earned runs).

Chicago White Sox Insights

• Davis Martin – Over/Under 17.5 Pitching Outs (-105/-125)
  Davis Martin has averaged 18.9 outs per outing this year, grading out in the 97th percentile.
  Explain: A pitcher who averages more outs per start than his Outs prop may be a good bet to go over, and visa-versa for the under.
• Miguel Vargas – Over/Under 1.5 Total Bases (+140/-180)
  Miguel Vargas’s average exit velocity has dropped off lately; his 88.9-mph seasonal EV has lowered to 84.1-mph in the past 7 days.
  Explain: Hitting the ball hard increases the chances of either a home run or the ball landing in fair territory for a hit before a fielder can get to it.
• The 9.6% Barrel% of the Chicago White Sox ranks them as the #7 squad in baseball this year by this standard.
  Explain: Barrel% measures how often a player hits the ball at the optimal exit velocity and launch angle and is a terrific measure of underlying power.

Betting Trends

• Chicago White Sox – Over/Under 3.5 Team Total (-110/-120)
  The Chicago White Sox have hit the Team Total Over in 11 of their last 17 games (+4.35 Units / 23% ROI)
• Seattle Mariners – Over/Under 1.5 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total (-155/+120)
  The Seattle Mariners have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 30 of their last 50 away games (+8.10 Units / 14% ROI)
• Cal Raleigh – Over/Under 0.5 Hits (-175/+135)
  Cal Raleigh has hit the Hits Under in his last 7 games (+9.45 Units / 135% ROI)