Recommended Player Prop Bets for Yankees vs Brewers – Sunday May 10, 2026

New York Yankees

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Milwaukee Brewers

New York Yankees Insights

• Carlos Rodon – Over/Under 4.5 Strikeouts (-125/-105)
  Grading out in the 81st percentile, Carlos Rodon compiled a 12.4% Swinging Strike rate since the start of last season.
  Explain: Swinging Strike% measures how often a pitcher gets a batter to whiff at a pitch and is regarded to be a strong indicator of strikeout ability and overall pitching talent.
• Aaron Judge – Over/Under 1.5 Total Bases (+105/-135)
  Typically, bats like Aaron Judge who hit a lot of groundballs generally hit worse when facing pitchers who also induce a lot of groundballs such as Logan Henderson.
  Explain: This mostly has to do with the way the hitter’s swing plane interacts with the pitch trajectory, and it can create diminished performance across all categories and hidden value few are considering.
• The 12.4% Barrel% of the New York Yankees makes them the #1 club in Major League Baseball this year by this metric.
  Explain: Barrel% measures how often a player hits the ball at the optimal exit velocity and launch angle and is a terrific measure of underlying power.

Milwaukee Brewers Insights

• Milwaukee Brewers – 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline (-105)
  Logan Henderson is an extreme flyball pitcher (39.8% FB% according to the leading projection system, THE BAT) and will be disadvantaged pitching in the #2 HR venue in MLB in this matchup.
  Explain: This pitcher’s skill set does not match up particularly well with the park he’s in today, which may lead to worse-than-usual performance.
• Gary Sanchez – Over/Under 1.5 Total Bases (+185/-245)
  Gary Sanchez has taken a step back with his Barrel% of late; his 13.2% seasonal rate has fallen off to 0% in the last two weeks.
  Explain: Barrel% measures how often a player hits the ball at the optimal exit velocity and launch angle and is a terrific measure of underlying power.
• Jackson Chourio – Over/Under 1.5 Total Bases (+120/-155)
  Jackson Chourio hits a lot of his flyballs to center field (40.2% — 98th percentile) and will have a big advantage facing baseball’s 8th-shallowest CF fences today.
  Explain: This player’s skill set matches up particularly well with the park he’s in today, which may lead to better-than-usual performance.