Live Updates for Athletics vs Orioles - 5/10/2026

-110O/U: 10.5
(-110/-110)-110

Luis Severino – Over/Under 4.5 Strikeouts (-150/+120)
Luis Severino’s four-seamer usage has dropped by 6.8% from last year to this one (27.6% to 20.8%) .
Explain: Fastballs are the one easiest pitches to hit and generate few strikeouts, so a pitcher who begins to use his fastball lessoften will likely be more effective than he used to be.
Carlos Cortes – Over/Under 1.5 Total Bases (+120/-155)
In the past week’s worth of games, Carlos Cortes’s Barrel% has experienced a negative regression, plummeting from his seasonal rate of 12.3% down to 0%.
Explain: Barrel% measures how often a player hits the ball at the optimal exit velocity and launch angle and is a terrific measure of underlying power.
Athletics – 2H Moneyline
According to the leading projection system (THE BAT), the Athletics’ bullpen projects as the 5th-worst among all the teams in MLB.
Explain: Most bettors only consider the starting pitcher, but a weak bullpen sneakily creates an easier matchup for the opposing offense and boosts a game’s runs.

Baltimore Orioles – Moneyline (-110)
Among every team today, the 2nd-worst infield defense is that of the the Baltimore Orioles.
Explain: Defense is an integral part of preventing (or, in this case, allowing) hits and runs.
Gunnar Henderson – Over/Under 1.5 Total Bases (+100/-130)
Gunnar Henderson is apt to have the upper hand against every reliever from start to finish, since the bullpen of the Athletics has just 1 same-handed RP.
Explain: Hitters perform worse against pitchers of the same handedness (i.e. righty-vs-righty), and being able to avoid those matchups against the bullpen boosts performance and creates hidden edge.
Samuel Basallo – Over/Under 1.5 Total Bases (+130/-170)
Samuel Basallo hits a lot of his flyballs to center field (38.6% — 89th percentile) and is fortunate to face baseball’s 4th-shallowest CF fences in today’s matchup.
Explain: This player’s skill set matches up particularly well with the park he’s in today, which may lead to better-than-usual performance.

Over/Under 10.5 Game Total (-110/-110)
The Baltimore Orioles have hit the Game Total Under in 30 of their last 50 games at home (+9.05 Units / 16% ROI)
Athletics – Moneyline (-110)
The Athletics have hit the Moneyline in 26 of their last 45 away games (+12.50 Units / 27% ROI)
Shea Langeliers – Over/Under 1.5 Total Bases (-125/-105)
Shea Langeliers has hit the Total Bases Over in 17 of his last 25 games (+10.40 Units / 38% ROI)

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