Live Score for Cardinals vs Twins - June 12th, 2026

+120O/U: 8.5
(-110/-110)-140

Kyle Leahy – Over/Under 3.5 Strikeouts (-155/+120)
Kyle Leahy’s fastball spin rate has dropped 187 rpm this year (2187 rpm) below where it was last season (2374 rpm).
Explain: Spin rate is a key component to fastball success in generating strikeouts and preventing runs, so a pitcher whose spin rate worsens will likely see worsened results as well.
Nolan Gorman – Over/Under 0.5 Hits (-120/-110)
Nolan Gorman has primarily hit in the top-half of the batting order this year (89% of the time), but he is projected to hit 8th on the lineup card in today’s game.
Explain: The lower in the order a player bats, the fewer plate appearances he will get and the fewer opportunities he will get to hit the Over for every market. A player who hits lower in the order than he normally does may provide extra value opportunity since the market may be based on him hitting higher.
The St. Louis Cardinals have 3 hitters in their projected lineup today with a high (i.e. over 27%) underlying K% (per the leading projection system, THE BAT X) (Jordan Walker, Jimmy Crooks, Nolan Gorman).
Explain: Teams that have multiple high-strikeout hitters will make it much easier for the opposing pitcher to record strikeouts

Minnesota Twins – 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline (-155)
Joe Ryan is an extreme flyball pitcher (41.4% FB% via the leading projection system, THE BAT) and has the benefit of pitching in the #24 HR venue among all stadiums in this matchup.
Explain: This pitcher’s skill set matches up particularly well with the park he’s in today, which may lead to better-than-usual performance.
Byron Buxton – Over/Under 1.5 Total Bases (-120/-110)
Whalloping 3 long-balls over the last 7 days, Byron Buxton has been on fire in recent games.
Explain: Strong recent performance may mean the player is seeing the ball well and will continue to hit well in the near-term.
Minnesota Twins bats collectively rank in the cellar of MLB this year ( 5th-worst) when it comes to their 88.2-mph average exit velocity.
Explain: Hitting the ball hard increases the chances of either a home run or the ball landing in fair territory for a hit before a fielder can get to it.

Over/Under 8.5 Game Total (-110/-110)
The Minnesota Twins have hit the Game Total Over in 11 of their last 15 games (+7.70 Units / 47% ROI)
St. Louis Cardinals – 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line +0.5 (-120)
The St. Louis Cardinals have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 33 of their last 50 games (+13.65 Units / 22% ROI)
JJ Wetherholt – Over/Under 1.5 Total Bases (+120/-155)
JJ Wetherholt has hit the Total Bases Over in 7 of his last 10 games (+6.30 Units / 58% ROI)

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