Discover the Marlins vs Phillies Head-to-Head Preview and Score Prediction - Tuesday, August 18th, 2026

+185O/U: 8
(-110/-110)-220

Miami Marlins – 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline (+185)
With 6 bats who hit from the other side in the opposing team’s projected offense, Tyler Phillips will have a tough challenge while lacking the platoon advantage in most plate appearances in this matchup.
Explain: Right-handed pitchers perform worse against left-handed hitters (and visa-versa). If several hitters hold this advantage against the pitcher, it can have a huge impact on whether he will perform well or struggle on any given day.
Griffin Conine – Over/Under 0.5 Hits (-120/-110)
Griffin Conine has primarily hit in the back-half of the batting order this year (53% of the time), but he is penciled in 4th on the lineup card today.
Explain: The higher in the order a player bats, the more plate appearances he will get and the more opportunities he will get to hit the Over for every market. A player who hits higher in the order than he normally does may provide extra value opportunity since the market may be based on him hitting lower.
Miami Marlins bats as a unit place 27th- in the league for power this year when using their 6.7% Barrel%.
Explain: Barrel% measures how often a player hits the ball at the optimal exit velocity and launch angle and is a terrific measure of underlying power.

Zack Wheeler – Over/Under 7.5 Strikeouts (+110/-145)
Zack Wheeler’s 2436-rpm fastball spin rate this year ranks in the 82nd percentile among all starting pitchers.
Explain: Spin rate is a key component to fastball success in generating strikeouts and preventing runs.
Bryce Harper – Over/Under 1.5 Total Bases (+120/-155)
Bryce Harper may have the upper hand against every reliever for the duration of the game, since the bullpen of the Miami Marlins has just 1 same-handed RP.
Explain: Hitters perform worse against pitchers of the same handedness (i.e. righty-vs-righty), and being able to avoid those matchups against the bullpen boosts performance and creates hidden edge.
Brandon Marsh – Over/Under 1.5 Total Bases (+140/-180)
Brandon Marsh has an 81st percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (34%) and is a great match for the park considering he’ll be hitting them out towards the league’s 10th-shallowest LF fences today.
Explain: This player’s skill set matches up particularly well with the park he’s in today, which may lead to better-than-usual performance.

Over/Under 8.5 Game Total (+100/-120)
The Philadelphia Phillies have hit the Game Total Over in 12 of their last 20 games (+6.45 Units / 29% ROI)
Over/Under 8.5 Game Total (+100/-120)
The Miami Marlins have hit the Game Total Under in 10 of their last 13 away games (+6.65 Units / 46% ROI)
Bryson Stott – Over/Under 1.5 Total Bases (+140/-185)
Bryson Stott has hit the Total Bases Over in 17 of his last 25 games at home (+9.50 Units / 29% ROI)

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