Get Tickets Information for Red Sox vs Tigers - 5/4/2026

-125O/U: 8
(-115/-105)+105

Payton Tolle – Over/Under 5.5 Strikeouts (+110/-140)
The Detroit Tigers have 7 batters in the projected batting order that will have the handedness advantage against Payton Tolle in this matchup.
Explain: Right-handed pitchers perform worse against left-handed hitters (and visa-versa). If several hitters hold this advantage against the pitcher, it can have a huge impact on whether he will perform well or struggle on any given day.
Roman Anthony – Over/Under 1.5 Total Bases (+145/-190)
In terms of his home runs, Roman Anthony has been unlucky since the start of last season. His 12.5 HR per 600 plate appearances figure has been deflated compared to the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s version of Statcast-based Expected HR/600 at 27.7.
Explain: xHR uses highly advanced Statcast data to measure a player’s home run ability more accurately than actual home runs can.
Carlos Narvaez – Over/Under 0.5 Total Bases (-155/+120)
Carlos Narvaez has a 94th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (36.8%) and has the misfortune of hitting them towards the game’s 10th-deepest RF fences in today’s matchup.
Explain: This player’s skill set does not match up particularly well with the park he’s in today, which may lead to worse-than-usual performance.

Matt Vierling – Over/Under 0.5 Hits (-185/+140)
Matt Vierling is penciled in 2nd in the batting order in this game, which would be an upgrade from his 56% rate of hitting in the bottom-half of the batting order this year.
Explain: The higher in the order a player bats, the more plate appearances he will get and the more opportunities he will get to hit the Over for every market. A player who hits higher in the order than he normally does may provide extra value opportunity since the market may be based on him hitting lower.
The Detroit Tigers (25.1% K% (per the leading projection system, THE BAT X) are forecasted to have the 2nd-most strikeout-prone team of batters of all teams on the slate.
Explain: THE BAT X analyzes each player in today’s specific lineup to figure out which teams have the most inherent strikeout potential for the opposing pitcher.

Detroit Tigers – Moneyline (+105)
The Detroit Tigers have hit the Moneyline in 13 of their last 17 games at home (+8.40 Units / 36% ROI)
Boston Red Sox – Over/Under 1.5 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total (-160/+125)
The Boston Red Sox have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 10 of their last 15 away games (+4.25 Units / 22% ROI)
Willson Contreras – Over/Under 0.5 Singles (-105/-125)
Willson Contreras has hit the Singles Over in 15 of his last 25 games (+7.55 Units / 29% ROI)

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