Find the Best Player Prop Bets for Dodgers vs Cubs – 8/3/26

Los Angeles Dodgers

@

Chicago Cubs

Los Angeles Dodgers Insights

• Justin Wrobleski – Over/Under 18.5 Pitching Outs (+150/-195)
  Justin Wrobleski has recorded 19.2 outs per GS this year, checking in at the 99th percentile.
  Explain: A pitcher who averages more outs per start than his Outs prop may be a good bet to go over, and visa-versa for the under.
• Kyle Tucker – Over/Under 0.5 Total Bases (-180/+135)
  Kyle Tucker is an extreme flyball hitter and matches up with the strong outfield defense of Chicago (#1-best of the day).
  Explain: This player’s skill set matches up poorly with the opposing team’s defensive strength, which may lead to worse-than-usual performance.
• Compared to their .349 overall projected rate, the .334 the leading projection system (THE BAT X) wOBA of the Los Angeles Dodgers projected offense in today’s game suggests this version of the lineup considerably missing some of their usual firepower.
  Explain: Betting lines are often based on seasonal team quality. If today’s lineup is watered down, however, there may be value if markets aren’t accounting for the lower quality of this offense.

Chicago Cubs Insights

• Matthew Boyd – Over/Under 4.5 Strikeouts (-140/+110)
  With 6 batters of opposing handedness in the opposing team’s projected offense, Matthew Boyd will have a tough matchup while lacking the platoon advantage in most plate appearances in today’s outing.
  Explain: Right-handed pitchers perform worse against left-handed hitters (and visa-versa). If several hitters hold this advantage against the pitcher, it can have a huge impact on whether he will perform well or struggle on any given day.
• Carson Kelly – Over/Under 0.5 Hits (-195/+150)
  Carson Kelly has primarily hit in the back-half of the lineup this year (74% of the time), but he is projected to hit 4th in the batting order in today’s game.
  Explain: The higher in the order a player bats, the more plate appearances he will get and the more opportunities he will get to hit the Over for every market. A player who hits higher in the order than he normally does may provide extra value opportunity since the market may be based on him hitting lower.
• Chicago Cubs – 2H Moneyline
  According to the leading projection system (THE BAT), the Chicago Cubs’ bullpen projects as the 5th-worst out of all the teams in the majors.
  Explain: Most bettors only consider the starting pitcher, but a weak bullpen sneakily creates an easier matchup for the opposing offense and boosts a game’s runs.

Betting Trends

• Chicago Cubs – Over/Under 3.5 Team Total (-115/-115)
  The Chicago Cubs have hit the Team Total Over in 22 of their last 35 games (+6.15 Units / 14% ROI)
• Los Angeles Dodgers – Over/Under 4.5 Team Total (+120/-150)
  The Los Angeles Dodgers have hit the Team Total Under in 18 of their last 25 games (+10.30 Units / 35% ROI)
• Teoscar Hernandez – Over/Under 0.5 Runs (+135/-180)
  Teoscar Hernandez has hit the Runs Over in 15 of his last 20 away games (+15.75 Units / 78% ROI)