Get the Marlins vs Braves Injury Report – Tuesday, April 14, 2026

Miami Marlins

@

Atlanta Braves

Miami Marlins Insights

• Max Meyer – Over/Under 4.5 Strikeouts (-115/-115)
  Max Meyer’s slider rate has spiked by 6.1% from last year to this one (46.8% to 52.9%) .
  Explain: Because sliders are one of the most effective pitches to use, a pitcher who alters his pitch mix to use more of them will often see more success as a result.
• Javier Sanoja – Over/Under Total Bases
  Javier Sanoja has had some very good luck with his home runs since the start of last season; his 9.4 HR per 600 plate appearances mark is considerably higher than his 1.9 Expected HR/600, based on the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s interpretation of Statcast data.
  Explain: xHR uses highly advanced Statcast data to measure a player’s home run ability more accurately than actual home runs can.
• Otto Lopez – Over/Under 1.5 Total Bases (+130/-170)
  Otto Lopez hits a high percentage of his flyballs to center field (39.4% — 96th percentile) and sets up very well considering he’ll be hitting out towards the league’s 5th-shallowest CF fences in today’s matchup.
  Explain: This player’s skill set matches up particularly well with the park he’s in today, which may lead to better-than-usual performance.

Atlanta Braves Insights

• Reynaldo Lopez – Over/Under 4.5 Strikeouts (-110/-120)
  Out of all starters, Reynaldo Lopez’s fastball spin rate of 2024 rpm ranks in the 3rd percentile this year.
  Explain: Spin rate is a key component to fastball success in generating strikeouts and preventing runs.
• Matt Olson – Over/Under 1.5 Total Bases (+115/-150)
  Matt Olson has made significant strides with his Barrel%, improving his 14.1% rate last year to 21.6% this year.
  Explain: Barrel% measures how often a player hits the ball at the optimal exit velocity and launch angle and is a terrific measure of underlying power.
• According to the leading projection system (THE BAT X), the projected batting order for the Atlanta Braves today has an estimated true talent wOBA of .323, which is considerably worse than their actual wOBA of .342 this year.
  Explain: Betting lines are often based on seasonal team quality. If today’s lineup is watered down, however, there may be value if markets aren’t accounting for the lower quality of this offense.

Betting Trends

• Atlanta Braves – Over/Under 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total
  The Atlanta Braves have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 33 of their last 50 games at home (+12.05 Units / 20% ROI)
• Over/Under 8.5 Game Total (-110/-110)
  The Miami Marlins have hit the Game Total Over in 26 of their last 45 games (+7.40 Units / 15% ROI)
• Drake Baldwin – Over/Under 1.5 Hits Runs and RBIs (-135/+105)
  Drake Baldwin has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Over in 19 of his last 25 games (+10.90 Units / 33% ROI)