Get Bets and Betting Tips for Rockies vs Pirates - 5/14/2026

+150O/U: 7.5
(-110/-110)-175

Chase Dollander – Over/Under 15.5 Pitching Outs (+120/-150)
Compared to the average pitcher, Chase Dollander has been granted an above-average leash this year, throwing an additional 5.1 adjusted pitches each start.
Explain: Pitchers with a longer leash are more likely to go deeper into games and record more outs.
Hunter Goodman – Over/Under 0.5 Hits (-180/+140)
Hunter Goodman is projected to hit 9th in the batting order in today’s game, which would be a downgrade from his 100% rate of hitting in the top-half of the batting order this season.
Explain: The lower in the order a player bats, the fewer plate appearances he will get and the fewer opportunities he will get to hit the Over for every market. A player who hits lower in the order than he normally does may provide extra value opportunity since the market may be based on him hitting higher.
Hunter Goodman – Over/Under Total Bases
Hunter Goodman pulls a lot of his flyballs (39.1% — 96th percentile) and will be challenged by baseball’s 10th-deepest LF fences in today’s game.
Explain: This player’s skill set does not match up particularly well with the park he’s in today, which may lead to worse-than-usual performance.

Ryan O’Hearn – Over/Under 1.5 Total Bases (+145/-190)
Ryan O’Hearn may have an edge against every reliever for the game’s entirety, since the bullpen of the Colorado Rockies has just 1 same-handed RP.
Explain: Hitters perform worse against pitchers of the same handedness (i.e. righty-vs-righty), and being able to avoid those matchups against the bullpen boosts performance and creates hidden edge.
Per the leading projection system (THE BAT X), the offense with the 3rd-most strikeout-heavy lineup on the slate today is the Pittsburgh Pirates with a 23.9% underlying K%.
Explain: THE BAT X analyzes each player in today’s specific lineup to figure out which teams have the most inherent strikeout potential for the opposing pitcher.

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