Get Bets and Betting Tips for Rockies vs Pirates - 5/14/2026

+145O/U: 7.5
(-115/-105)-170

Chase Dollander – Over/Under 15.5 Pitching Outs (-115/-115)
Compared to the average pitcher, Chase Dollander has been granted an above-average leash this year, throwing an additional 7.3 adjusted pitches each start.
Explain: Pitchers with a longer leash are more likely to go deeper into games and record more outs.
Jordan Beck – Over/Under 0.5 Hits (-170/+135)
Jordan Beck is projected to bat 1st in the lineup in today’s game, which would be an upgrade from his 65% rate of hitting in the bottom-half of the lineup this season.
Explain: The higher in the order a player bats, the more plate appearances he will get and the more opportunities he will get to hit the Over for every market. A player who hits higher in the order than he normally does may provide extra value opportunity since the market may be based on him hitting lower.
Hunter Goodman – Over/Under 0.5 Total Bases (-165/+125)
Hunter Goodman pulls a lot of his flyballs (39.1% — 96th percentile) and will be challenged by baseball’s 10th-deepest LF fences in today’s game.
Explain: This player’s skill set does not match up particularly well with the park he’s in today, which may lead to worse-than-usual performance.

Pittsburgh Pirates – 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline (-150)
Carmen Mlodzinski has relied on his change-up 15.6% more often this season (27.2%) than he did last season (11.6%).
Explain: Because change-ups are one of the most effective pitches to use, a pitcher who alters his pitch mix to use more of them will often see more success as a result.
Ryan O’Hearn – Over/Under 1.5 Total Bases (+140/-185)
Ryan O’Hearn may have an edge against every reliever for the game’s entirety, since the bullpen of the Colorado Rockies has just 1 same-handed RP.
Explain: Hitters perform worse against pitchers of the same handedness (i.e. righty-vs-righty), and being able to avoid those matchups against the bullpen boosts performance and creates hidden edge.
Per the leading projection system (THE BAT X), the offense with the 5th-most strikeout-heavy lineup on the slate today is the Pittsburgh Pirates with a 24% underlying K%.
Explain: THE BAT X analyzes each player in today’s specific lineup to figure out which teams have the most inherent strikeout potential for the opposing pitcher.

Over/Under 7.5 Game Total (-115/-105)
The Pittsburgh Pirates have hit the Game Total Over in 15 of their last 24 games at home (+4.90 Units / 18% ROI)
Colorado Rockies – Over/Under 1.5 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total (-115/-115)
The Colorado Rockies have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 7 of their last 10 away games (+4.30 Units / 39% ROI)
Troy Johnston – Over/Under 1.5 Hits Runs and RBIs (+125/-160)
Troy Johnston has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Over in 12 of his last 15 games (+9.30 Units / 50% ROI)

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