Live Stream Details for Nationals vs Reds – Thursday, May 14, 2026

Washington Nationals

@

Cincinnati Reds

Washington Nationals Insights

• Foster Griffin – Over/Under 5.5 Strikeouts (+120/-155)
  Out of all starters, Foster Griffin’s fastball velocity of 87.3 mph grades out in the 1st percentile this year.
  Explain: Velocity is a key component to fastball success in generating strikeouts and preventing runs.
• Daylen Lile – Over/Under 0.5 Hits (-195/+150)
  Daylen Lile is penciled in 6th in the lineup in this matchup, which would be a downgrade from his 83% rate of hitting in the top-half of the lineup this year.
  Explain: The lower in the order a player bats, the fewer plate appearances he will get and the fewer opportunities he will get to hit the Over for every market. A player who hits lower in the order than he normally does may provide extra value opportunity since the market may be based on him hitting higher.
• According to the leading projection system (THE BAT X), the projected batting order for the Washington Nationals in today’s game holds an estimated true talent wOBA of .307, which is a fair amount worse than their actual wOBA of .320 this year.
  Explain: Betting lines are often based on seasonal team quality. If today’s lineup is watered down, however, there may be value if markets aren’t accounting for the lower quality of this offense.

Cincinnati Reds Insights

• Chase Burns – Over/Under 17.5 Pitching Outs (-135/+105)
  Generating 17.6 outs per game per started this year on average, Chase Burns places him the 85th percentile.
  Explain: A pitcher who averages more outs per start than his Outs prop may be a good bet to go over, and visa-versa for the under.
• JJ Bleday – Over/Under Total Bases
  JJ Bleday has seen a notable gain in his exit velocity this year; just compare his 93.7-mph average to last year’s 88.7-mph average.
  Explain: Hitting the ball hard increases the chances of either a home run or the ball landing in fair territory for a hit before a fielder can get to it.
• Cincinnati Reds bats as a unit grade out 2nd- in Major League Baseball for power this year when using their 11.9% Barrel%.
  Explain: Barrel% measures how often a player hits the ball at the optimal exit velocity and launch angle and is a terrific measure of underlying power.