Follow Live Updates on Athletics vs Mariners - Wednesday, April 22nd, 2026

+160O/U: 7.5
(-115/-105)-185

Aaron Civale – Over/Under 4.5 Strikeouts (-130/+100)
Out of all starters, Aaron Civale’s fastball spin rate of 2430.6 rpm is in the 83rd percentile since the start of last season.
Explain: Spin rate is a key component to fastball success in generating strikeouts and preventing runs.
Nick Kurtz – Over/Under 0.5 Total Bases (-135/+105)
In comparison to his 92.7-mph average last year, Nick Kurtz’s exit velocity has noticeably risen this season, now sitting at 98.5 mph.
Explain: Hitting the ball hard increases the chances of either a home run or the ball landing in fair territory for a hit before a fielder can get to it.
Lawrence Butler – Over/Under 0.5 Total Bases (-115/-115)
Lawrence Butler has a 94th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (36.9%) and will have a big advantage hitting them out towards the game’s 9th-shallowest LF fences in today’s matchup.
Explain: This player’s skill set matches up particularly well with the park he’s in today, which may lead to better-than-usual performance.

Logan Gilbert – Over/Under 18.5 Pitching Outs (+145/-190)
Tallying 17.4 outs per start this year on average, Logan Gilbert ranks in the 86th percentile.
Explain: A pitcher who averages more outs per start than his Outs prop may be a good bet to go over, and visa-versa for the under.
J.P. Crawford – Over/Under 0.5 Hits (-195/+150)
Based on Statcast data, the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s version of Expected Batting Average (.293) suggests that J.P. Crawford has suffered from bad luck since the start of last season with his .258 actual batting average.
Explain: xBA uses highly advanced Statcast data to measure a player’s batting average ability more accurately than actual batting average can.
Logan Gilbert – Over/Under 6.5 Strikeouts (-130/+100)
According to the leading projection system (THE BAT), Cal Raleigh (the Mariners’s expected catcher in today’s matchup) is considered to be an elite pitch framer.
Explain: Pitch framing is a catcher’s ability to make a ball look like a strike to the umpire, “stealing” strikes for his pitcher. This leads to more positive outcomes (like strikeouts) and fewer negative ones (like walks or earned runs).

Seattle Mariners – 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline (-195)
The Seattle Mariners have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 17 of their last 30 games at home (+6.65 Units / 14% ROI)
Over/Under 7.5 Game Total (-115/-105)
The Athletics have hit the Game Total Under in 15 of their last 21 away games (+10.60 Units / 46% ROI)
Dominic Canzone – Over/Under 0.5 Runs (+135/-180)
Dominic Canzone has hit the Runs Over in 8 of his last 10 games at home (+12.10 Units / 121% ROI)

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