Follow Live Updates on Athletics vs Mariners - Wednesday, April 22nd, 2026

+160O/U: 7.5
(-110/-110)-185

Aaron Civale – Over/Under 4.5 Strikeouts (-135/+105)
Out of all starters, Aaron Civale’s fastball spin rate of 2430.6 rpm is in the 83rd percentile since the start of last season.
Explain: Spin rate is a key component to fastball success in generating strikeouts and preventing runs.
Nick Kurtz – Over/Under 0.5 RBIs (+195/-260)
In comparison to his 92.7-mph average last year, Nick Kurtz’s exit velocity has noticeably risen this season, now sitting at 98.7 mph.
Explain: Hitting the ball hard increases the chances of either a home run or the ball landing in fair territory for a hit before a fielder can get to it.
Lawrence Butler – Over/Under 0.5 RBIs (+290/-420)
Lawrence Butler has a 95th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (37.2%) and will have a big advantage hitting them out towards the game’s 9th-shallowest LF fences in today’s matchup.
Explain: This player’s skill set matches up particularly well with the park he’s in today, which may lead to better-than-usual performance.

Logan Gilbert – Over/Under 17.5 Pitching Outs (-195/+150)
Tallying 17.4 outs per start this year on average, Logan Gilbert ranks in the 85th percentile.
Explain: A pitcher who averages more outs per start than his Outs prop may be a good bet to go over, and visa-versa for the under.
Cal Raleigh – Over/Under 1.5 Total Bases (+130/-170)
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) estimates Cal Raleigh’s true offensive ability to be a .343, suggesting that he has had bad variance on his side this year given the .101 gap between that figure and his actual .242 wOBA.
Explain: Players that are underperforming should be expected to play worse going forward, which can create value on prop Overs if the lines are too heavily weighing the unlucky, to-date underperformance.
Logan Gilbert – Over/Under 6.5 Strikeouts (-125/-105)
According to the leading projection system (THE BAT), Cal Raleigh (the Mariners’s expected catcher in today’s matchup) is considered to be an elite pitch framer.
Explain: Pitch framing is a catcher’s ability to make a ball look like a strike to the umpire, “stealing” strikes for his pitcher. This leads to more positive outcomes (like strikeouts) and fewer negative ones (like walks or earned runs).

Seattle Mariners – 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline (-195)
The Seattle Mariners have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 17 of their last 30 games at home (+6.65 Units / 14% ROI)
Over/Under 7.5 Game Total (-110/-110)
The Athletics have hit the Game Total Under in 15 of their last 21 away games (+10.60 Units / 46% ROI)

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