Picks and Betting Guide for Mariners vs Cardinals – Saturday, April 25, 2026

Seattle Mariners

@

St. Louis Cardinals

Seattle Mariners Insights

• Bryan Woo – Over/Under 18.5 Pitching Outs (+135/-180)
  Tallying 19.2 outs per outing this year on average, Bryan Woo falls in the 96th percentile.
  Explain: A pitcher who averages more outs per start than his Outs prop may be a good bet to go over, and visa-versa for the under.
• Mitch Garver – Over/Under Total Bases
  Mitch Garver has strong power (86th percentile) if he makes contact, but that’s usually a big “IF” (27.4% K%). Today, however, opposing pitcher Matthew Liberatore doesn’t generate many whiffs (22nd percentile K%) — great news for Garver.
  Explain: If he is less likely to strikeout, he’ll be more likely to make contact, which is often hard, home-run contact.
• Cal Raleigh – Over/Under 1.5 Total Bases (-105/-125)
  Cal Raleigh pulls a lot of his flyballs (43.7% — 100th percentile) and will have to hit them out towards the game’s 7th-deepest LF fences today.
  Explain: This player’s skill set does not match up particularly well with the park he’s in today, which may lead to worse-than-usual performance.

St. Louis Cardinals Insights

• Matthew Liberatore – Over/Under 4.5 Strikeouts (+105/-135)
  Matthew Liberatore has relied on his four-seam fastball 6.8% more often this year (35.8%) than he did last year (29%).
  Explain: Fastballs are the one easiest pitches to hit and generate few strikeouts, so a pitcher who begins to use his fastball more often will likely be less effective than he used to be.
• Jordan Walker – Over/Under Total Bases
  Jordan Walker has seen a significant gain in his exit velocity this season; just compare his 95-mph average to last season’s 92.3-mph figure.
  Explain: Hitting the ball hard increases the chances of either a home run or the ball landing in fair territory for a hit before a fielder can get to it.
• St. Louis Cardinals – Moneyline (+125)
  The St. Louis Cardinals projected offense grades out as the 3rd-worst of the day in terms of overall batting skill.
  Explain: A pitcher who faces a weak opposing offense will be more likely to exceed his usual performance, particularly in terms of hits and runs, in that game.