Picks and Betting Guide for Mariners vs Cardinals - Saturday, April 25, 2026

-150O/U: 7.5
(-110/-110)+125

Bryan Woo – Over/Under 18.5 Pitching Outs (+140/-180)
Tallying 19.2 outs per outing this year on average, Bryan Woo falls in the 96th percentile.
Explain: A pitcher who averages more outs per start than his Outs prop may be a good bet to go over, and visa-versa for the under.
Mitch Garver – Over/Under 0.5 Total Bases (-140/+110)
Mitch Garver has strong power (86th percentile) if he makes contact, but that’s usually a big “IF” (27.3% K%). Today, however, opposing pitcher Matthew Liberatore doesn’t generate many whiffs (22nd percentile K%) — great news for Garver.
Explain: If he is less likely to strikeout, he’ll be more likely to make contact, which is often hard, home-run contact.
Cal Raleigh – Over/Under 1.5 Total Bases (+120/-155)
Cal Raleigh pulls a lot of his flyballs (43.7% — 100th percentile) and will have to hit them out towards the game’s 7th-deepest LF fences today.
Explain: This player’s skill set does not match up particularly well with the park he’s in today, which may lead to worse-than-usual performance.

Matthew Liberatore – Over/Under 4.5 Strikeouts (+120/-155)
Matthew Liberatore has relied on his four-seam fastball 6.8% more often this year (35.8%) than he did last year (29%).
Explain: Fastballs are the one easiest pitches to hit and generate few strikeouts, so a pitcher who begins to use his fastball more often will likely be less effective than he used to be.
Victor Scott II – Over/Under 0.5 Total Bases (-110/-120)
Victor Scott II has been cold of late, with his seasonal exit velocity of 85.6-mph dropping to 74.8-mph in the last 7 days.
Explain: Hitting the ball hard increases the chances of either a home run or the ball landing in fair territory for a hit before a fielder can get to it.
St. Louis Cardinals – Moneyline (+125)
The St. Louis Cardinals projected offense grades out as the 4th-worst of the day in terms of overall batting skill.
Explain: A pitcher who faces a weak opposing offense will be more likely to exceed his usual performance, particularly in terms of hits and runs, in that game.

St. Louis Cardinals – Moneyline (+125)
The St. Louis Cardinals have hit the Moneyline in 14 of their last 24 games at home (+4.95 Units / 20% ROI)
Seattle Mariners – Over/Under 4.5 Team Total (+110/-140)
The Seattle Mariners have hit the Team Total Under in 10 of their last 13 away games (+6.45 Units / 43% ROI)
Alec Burleson – Over/Under 0.5 Runs (+150/-195)
Alec Burleson has hit the Runs Under in 9 of his last 10 games at home (+7.50 Units / 42% ROI)

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