Check the Injuries Update for Athletics vs Tigers - 7/7/2026

+185O/U: 8.5
(-110/-110)-220

J.T. Ginn – Over/Under 4.5 Strikeouts (-135/+105)
Given that groundball hitters have a notable edge over flyball pitchers, J.T. Ginn and his 48.6% underlying GB% (according to the leading projection system, THE BAT) will be in a difficult position in this matchup squaring off against 2 opposing GB bats.
Explain: This mostly has to do with the way the hitter’s swing plane interacts with the pitch trajectory, and it can create diminished performance across all categories and hidden value few are considering.
Jonah Heim – Over/Under 0.5 Total Bases (-155/+120)
From last season to this one, Jonah Heim’s flyball exit velocity has decreased from an average of 90.9 mph to 88.8 mph.
Explain: Most home runs are flyballs, and the harder those flyballs are hit, the more often they turn into home runs. This is a strong indicator of power.
Athletics – 2H Moneyline
The Athletics bullpen projects as the 10th-worst in the majors, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT).
Explain: Most bettors only consider the starting pitcher, but a weak bullpen sneakily creates an easier matchup for the opposing offense and boosts a game’s runs.

Tarik Skubal – Over/Under 8.5 Strikeouts (+120/-155)
Tarik Skubal has used his change-up 6% less often this season (25.5%) than he did last year (31.5%).
Explain: Because change-ups are one of the most effective pitches to use, a pitcher who alters his pitch mix to use them less often may see less success as a result, particularly if he uses his fastball more instead.
Spencer Torkelson – Over/Under 0.5 Total Bases (-140/+110)
Extreme groundball batters like Spencer Torkelson tend to perform better against extreme flyball pitchers like J.T. Ginn.
Explain: This mostly has to do with the way the hitter’s swing plane interacts with the pitch trajectory, and it can create boosted performance across all categories and hidden value few are considering.
Spencer Torkelson – Over/Under 0.5 Total Bases (-140/+110)
Spencer Torkelson pulls a high percentage of his flyballs (40.2% — 97th percentile) and will be challenged by the game’s 5th-deepest LF fences in today’s game.
Explain: This player’s skill set does not match up particularly well with the park he’s in today, which may lead to worse-than-usual performance.

Detroit Tigers – 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline (-240)
The Detroit Tigers have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 11 of their last 17 games (+8.75 Units / 40% ROI)
Athletics – 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline (+180)
The Athletics have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 15 of their last 30 away games (+6.05 Units / 18% ROI)
Shea Langeliers – Over/Under 0.5 RBIs (+180/-235)
Shea Langeliers has hit the RBIs Under in 17 of his last 20 away games (+11.55 Units / 31% ROI)

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