Review the Latest Player Stats for Cardinals vs Rockies – Sunday, September 6, 2026

St. Louis Cardinals

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Colorado Rockies

St. Louis Cardinals Insights

• Kyle Leahy – Over/Under Pitching Outs
  Taking into account both his underlying tendencies and the matchup, Kyle Leahy is projected to throw 80 pitches in this matchup by the leading projection system (THE BAT X) system, which is the 4th-least of all pitchers today.
  Explain: Pitchers who throw relatively few pitches are more likely to get pulled from the game earlier, record fewer outs, and generate fewer strikeouts.
• Bryan Torres – Over/Under 1.5 Total Bases (-105/-125)
  Batters such as Bryan Torres with extreme groundball tendencies are usually more effective when facing pitchers like Tanner Gordon who skew towards the flyball end of the spectrum.
  Explain: This mostly has to do with the way the hitter’s swing plane interacts with the pitch trajectory, and it can create boosted performance across all categories and hidden value few are considering.
• Rating 5th-least steep in Major League Baseball since the start of last season, St. Louis Cardinals hitters as a group have recorded a 12.5° launch angle on their highest exit velocity balls (a reliable metric to measure power skills).
  Explain: If you hit the ball hard but straight at the ground, it doesn’t do you any good. A player that is skilled at lifting his hardest hit balls into the air stands the best chance of turning them into extra-base hits or home runs.

Colorado Rockies Insights

• Tanner Gordon – Over/Under 3.5 Strikeouts (-155/+120)
  Despite conventional wisdom, fastballs are generally a pitcher’s least effective pitch. Tanner Gordon has used his secondary offerings 7.7% more often this year (54.9%) than he did last year (47.2%).
  Explain: A pitcher who limits has fastball usage will instead heavily use change-ups, curveballs, sliders, etc. These are far more effective pitches at preventing runs and generating strikeouts.
• Mickey Moniak – Over/Under 1.5 Total Bases (-120/-110)
  In the past 7 days, Mickey Moniak’s Barrel% has experienced a negative regression, plummeting from his seasonal rate of 9.7% down to 0%.
  Explain: Barrel% measures how often a player hits the ball at the optimal exit velocity and launch angle and is a terrific measure of underlying power.
• Colorado’s 87.6-mph average exit velocity this year is one of the worst in the league: #29 overall.
  Explain: Hitting the ball hard increases the chances of either a home run or the ball landing in fair territory for a hit before a fielder can get to it.

Betting Trends

• Colorado Rockies – Over/Under 2.5 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total (-110/-120)
  The Colorado Rockies have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 14 of their last 22 games at home (+5.15 Units / 20% ROI)
• St. Louis Cardinals – 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline (-135)
  The St. Louis Cardinals have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 15 of their last 23 away games (+14.10 Units / 57% ROI)
• Mickey Moniak – Over/Under 1.5 Total Bases (-120/-110)
  Mickey Moniak has hit the Total Bases Under in 16 of his last 20 games (+12.05 Units / 42% ROI)