
Athletics
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Seattle Mariners
+180O/U: 7
(-110/-110)-210
(-110/-110)-210
Athletics Insights
- Gage Jump – Over/Under 5.5 Strikeouts (-125/-105)According to the leading projection system (THE BAT X), Gage Jump is expected to rack up an average of 5.7 strikeouts in this matchup.Explain: THE BAT X is a highly sophisticated projection system that accounts for a multitude of factors like ballpark, weather, umpire, and more.
- Lawrence Butler – Over/Under 0.5 Total Bases (-145/+115)Lawrence Butler has seen a notable increase in his exit velocity of late; just compare his 95-mph average over the past 14 days to his seasonal 89.6-mph figure.Explain: Hitting the ball hard increases the chances of either a home run or the ball landing in fair territory for a hit before a fielder can get to it.
- Athletics – 2H MoneylineAccording to the leading projection system (THE BAT), the Athletics’ bullpen ranks as the 2nd-worst out of all the teams in baseball.Explain: Most bettors only consider the starting pitcher, but a weak bullpen sneakily creates an easier matchup for the opposing offense and boosts a game’s runs.
Seattle Mariners Insights
- Bryan Woo – Over/Under 6.5 Strikeouts (+105/-135)It may come as a surprise, but fastballs are generally a pitcher’s least effective pitch. Bryan Woo has utilized his off-speed and breaking balls 6.4% more often this year (33.6%) than he did last season (27.2%).Explain: A pitcher who limits has fastball usage will instead heavily use change-ups, curveballs, sliders, etc. These are far more effective pitches at preventing runs and generating strikeouts.
- Cal Raleigh – Over/Under 0.5 Total Bases (-140/+110)Sacramento’s 2nd-worst outfield defense of all teams on the slate today creates a favorable matchup for Cal Raleigh, who tends to hit a lot of flyballs.Explain: This player’s skill set matches up well with the opposing team’s defensive weakness, which may lead to better-than-usual performance.
- Cal Raleigh – Over/Under 0.5 Total Bases (-140/+110)Cal Raleigh pulls a lot of his flyballs (43.8% — 100th percentile) and sets up very well considering he’ll be hitting them towards the league’s 9th-shallowest LF fences in today’s matchup.Explain: This player’s skill set matches up particularly well with the park he’s in today, which may lead to better-than-usual performance.
Betting Trends
- Over/Under 7.0 Game Total (-110/-110)The Seattle Mariners have hit the Game Total Over in 28 of their last 45 games (+11.50 Units / 23% ROI)
- Over/Under 7.0 Game Total (-110/-110)The Athletics have hit the Game Total Over in 23 of their last 40 games (+6.80 Units / 16% ROI)
- Dominic Canzone – Over/Under 0.5 Hits (-185/+145)Dominic Canzone has hit the Hits Over in 16 of his last 20 games (+8.20 Units / 22% ROI)
