Arizona Diamondbacks
@
Houston Astros
-110O/U: 8
(-110/-110)-110
(-110/-110)-110
Arizona Diamondbacks Insights
- Eduardo Rodriguez – Over/Under 17.5 Pitching Outs (-160/+125)Compared to average, Eduardo Rodriguez has been granted a longer leash than the average pitcher this year, throwing an additional 6.2 adjusted pitches each game.Explain: Pitchers with a longer leash are more likely to go deeper into games and record more outs.
- Max Kepler – Over/Under 0.5 Hits (-135/+105)Max Kepler has primarily hit in the top-half of the lineup this season (66% of the time), but he is projected to hit 7th in the lineup in this matchup.Explain: The lower in the order a player bats, the fewer plate appearances he will get and the fewer opportunities he will get to hit the Over for every market. A player who hits lower in the order than he normally does may provide extra value opportunity since the market may be based on him hitting higher.
- Lars Nootbaar – Over/Under 1.5 Total Bases (+155/-205)In today’s game, Lars Nootbaar is at a disadvantage facing the league’s 8th-deepest CF center field fences given that he hits his flyballs towards center field at a 40.5% rate (99th percentile).Explain: This player’s skill set does not match up particularly well with the park he’s in today, which may lead to worse-than-usual performance.
Houston Astros Insights
- Houston Astros – Moneyline (-110)The Houston Astros projected batting order profiles as the 4th-strongest of all teams on the slate today in terms of overall batting skill.Explain: A pitcher who faces a strong opposing offense will be more likely to underperform his usual performance, particularly in terms of hits and runs, in that game.