Check Out the Yankees vs Brewers Best Bets and Expert Picks – Saturday May 09, 2026

New York Yankees

@

Milwaukee Brewers

New York Yankees Insights

• Cam Schlittler – Over/Under 17.5 Pitching Outs (-145/+115)
  Generating 17.8 outs per start this year on average, Cameron Schlittler ranks in the 88th percentile.
  Explain: A pitcher who averages more outs per start than his Outs prop may be a good bet to go over, and visa-versa for the under.
• Aaron Judge – Over/Under 1.5 Total Bases (+110/-140)
  Aaron Judge has been hot in recent games, raising his seasonal exit velocity of 93.6-mph to 99-mph over the last 7 days.
  Explain: Hitting the ball hard increases the chances of either a home run or the ball landing in fair territory for a hit before a fielder can get to it.
• New York Yankees batters collectively rank in MLB for power this year when using their 12.7% Barrel%.
  Explain: Barrel% measures how often a player hits the ball at the optimal exit velocity and launch angle and is a terrific measure of underlying power.

Milwaukee Brewers Insights

• Kyle Harrison – Over/Under 5.5 Strikeouts (-110/-120)
  It may come as a surprise, but fastballs are generally a pitcher’s least effective pitch. Kyle Harrison has gone to his fastball a lot this year, though: 60.3% of the time, grading out in the 100th percentile.
  Explain: Fastballs are the one easiest pitches to hit and generate few strikeouts, so pitchers who rely too heavily on them tend to be less effective than they otherwise would be.
• Brice Turang – Over/Under 0.5 Total Bases (-175/+135)
  Brice Turang has been lucky this year, compiling a .412 wOBA despite the leading projection system (THE BAT X) estimating his true talent level to be .331 — a .081 discrepancy.
  Explain: Players that are overperforming should be expected to play worse going forward, which can create value on prop Unders if the lines are too heavily weighing the lucky, to-date overperformance.
• Jackson Chourio – Over/Under 1.5 Total Bases (+130/-165)
  Jackson Chourio hits many of his flyballs to center field (40.2% — 98th percentile) and sets up very well considering he’ll be hitting out towards MLB’s 8th-shallowest CF fences today.
  Explain: This player’s skill set matches up particularly well with the park he’s in today, which may lead to better-than-usual performance.

Betting Trends

• Milwaukee Brewers – Run Line +1.5 (-140)
  The Milwaukee Brewers have hit the Run Line in 23 of their last 40 games (+8.25 Units / 17% ROI)
• New York Yankees – Over/Under 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total
  The New York Yankees have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 20 of their last 30 games (+7.95 Units / 21% ROI)