Brewers vs Dodgers Game Highlights – Sunday, August 16, 2026

Milwaukee Brewers

@

Los Angeles Dodgers

Milwaukee Brewers Insights

• Milwaukee Brewers – 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline (+160)
  Logan Henderson was in good form in his last start and allowed 2 ER.
  Explain: A pitcher who was strong in his last outing may be sharp once again in his next outing.
• Jake Bauers – Over/Under 0.5 Total Bases (-125/-105)
  Jake Bauers has been lucky this year, notching a .374 wOBA despite the leading projection system (THE BAT X) estimating his true talent level to be .329 — a .045 discrepancy.
  Explain: Players that are overperforming should be expected to play worse going forward, which can create value on prop Unders if the lines are too heavily weighing the lucky, to-date overperformance.
• Milwaukee’s 89.2-mph average exit velocity this year ranks among the best in the game: #9 overall.
  Explain: Hitting the ball hard increases the chances of either a home run or the ball landing in fair territory for a hit before a fielder can get to it.

Los Angeles Dodgers Insights

• Tarik Skubal – Over/Under 18.5 Pitching Outs (+155/-200)
  Tallying 17.9 outs per outing this year on average, Tarik Skubal falls in the 92nd percentile.
  Explain: A pitcher who averages more outs per start than his Outs prop may be a good bet to go over, and visa-versa for the under.
• Max Muncy – Over/Under 0.5 Total Bases (-135/+105)
  Max Muncy has taken a step back with his Barrel% in recent games; his 13.1% seasonal rate has fallen off to 0% in the past week.
  Explain: Barrel% measures how often a player hits the ball at the optimal exit velocity and launch angle and is a terrific measure of underlying power.
• Max Muncy – Over/Under 0.5 Total Bases (-135/+105)
  In today’s game, Max Muncy is at a disadvantage facing the league’s 8th-deepest RF fences given that he hits his flyballs to the pull field at a 40.5% rate (98th percentile).
  Explain: This player’s skill set does not match up particularly well with the park he’s in today, which may lead to worse-than-usual performance.

Betting Trends

• Los Angeles Dodgers – Over/Under 3.5 Team Total (-145/+115)
  The Los Angeles Dodgers have hit the Team Total Under in 14 of their last 20 games (+7.00 Units / 28% ROI)
• Over/Under 7.5 Game Total (+100/-120)
  The Milwaukee Brewers have hit the Game Total Under in 12 of their last 18 games (+6.65 Units / 33% ROI)
• Teoscar Hernandez – Over/Under 0.5 Runs (+155/-205)
  Teoscar Hernandez has hit the Runs Under in his last 9 games (+9.00 Units / 59% ROI)