Brewers vs Dodgers Game Highlights - Sunday, August 16, 2026

+155O/U: 7.5
(-110/-110)-180

Milwaukee Brewers – 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline (+150)
Logan Henderson was in good form in his last start and allowed 2 ER.
Explain: A pitcher who was strong in his last outing may be sharp once again in his next outing.
Jake Bauers – Over/Under 1.5 Total Bases (+190/-250)
Jake Bauers has been lucky this year, notching a .374 wOBA despite the leading projection system (THE BAT X) estimating his true talent level to be .329 — a .045 discrepancy.
Explain: Players that are overperforming should be expected to play worse going forward, which can create value on prop Unders if the lines are too heavily weighing the lucky, to-date overperformance.
Milwaukee’s 89.2-mph average exit velocity this year ranks among the best in the game: #9 overall.
Explain: Hitting the ball hard increases the chances of either a home run or the ball landing in fair territory for a hit before a fielder can get to it.

Tarik Skubal – Over/Under 18.5 Pitching Outs (+125/-160)
Tallying 17.9 outs per outing this year on average, Tarik Skubal falls in the 92nd percentile.
Explain: A pitcher who averages more outs per start than his Outs prop may be a good bet to go over, and visa-versa for the under.
Max Muncy – Over/Under 0.5 Total Bases (-140/+110)
Max Muncy has taken a step back with his Barrel% in recent games; his 13.1% seasonal rate has fallen off to 0% in the past week.
Explain: Barrel% measures how often a player hits the ball at the optimal exit velocity and launch angle and is a terrific measure of underlying power.
Max Muncy – Over/Under 0.5 Total Bases (-140/+110)
In today’s game, Max Muncy is at a disadvantage facing the league’s 8th-deepest RF fences given that he hits his flyballs to the pull field at a 40.5% rate (98th percentile).
Explain: This player’s skill set does not match up particularly well with the park he’s in today, which may lead to worse-than-usual performance.

Los Angeles Dodgers – Over/Under 4.5 Team Total (+115/-150)
The Los Angeles Dodgers have hit the Team Total Under in 14 of their last 20 games (+7.00 Units / 28% ROI)
Over/Under 7.5 Game Total (-110/-110)
The Milwaukee Brewers have hit the Game Total Under in 12 of their last 18 games (+6.65 Units / 33% ROI)
Tommy Edman – Over/Under 0.5 Hits (-195/+150)
Tommy Edman has hit the Hits Under in 9 of his last 15 games (+9.25 Units / 62% ROI)

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