Blue Jays vs Cubs Betting Guide – 6/20/26

Toronto Blue Jays

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Chicago Cubs

Toronto Blue Jays Insights

• Davis Schneider – Over/Under 0.5 Total Bases (-135/+105)
  Davis Schneider has strong power (95th percentile) if he makes contact, but that’s never a guarantee (27.8% K%). Today, however, opposing pitcher Colin Rea has a pitch-to-contact profile (19th percentile K%) — great news for Schneider.
  Explain: If he is less likely to strikeout, he’ll be more likely to make contact, which is often hard, home-run contact.
• The Toronto Blue Jays (20.8 K% (according to the leading projection system, THE BAT X) are projected to have the 4th-least strikeout-heavy team of hitters of all teams on the slate today.
  Explain: THE BAT X analyzes each player in today’s specific lineup to figure out which teams have the least inherent strikeout potential for the opposing pitcher.

Chicago Cubs Insights

• Colin Rea – Over/Under 3.5 Strikeouts (-130/+100)
  Colin Rea is projected to strikeout 4.1 batters in this matchup, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).
  Explain: THE BAT X is a highly sophisticated projection system that accounts for a multitude of factors like ballpark, weather, umpire, and more.
• Michael Busch – Over/Under 1.5 Total Bases (+145/-185)
  The Toronto Blue Jays have just 1 same-handed RP in their bullpen, so Michael Busch stands a good chance of never facing a bullpen mismatch all game.
  Explain: Hitters perform worse against pitchers of the same handedness (i.e. righty-vs-righty), and being able to avoid those matchups against the bullpen boosts performance and creates hidden edge.
• Chicago Cubs – 2H Moneyline
  According to the leading projection system (THE BAT), the Chicago Cubs’ bullpen projects as the 9th-worst out of all the teams in Major League Baseball.
  Explain: Most bettors only consider the starting pitcher, but a weak bullpen sneakily creates an easier matchup for the opposing offense and boosts a game’s runs.

Betting Trends

• Chicago Cubs – Over/Under 4.5 Team Total (-125/-105)
  The Chicago Cubs have hit the Team Total Under in 11 of their last 15 games at home (+6.60 Units / 38% ROI)
• Toronto Blue Jays – Over/Under 2.5 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total (+110/-140)
  The Toronto Blue Jays have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 21 of their last 35 away games (+6.70 Units / 16% ROI)
• Nico Hoerner – Over/Under 0.5 Singles (-175/+135)
  Nico Hoerner has hit the Singles Under in 11 of his last 20 games at home (+5.00 Units / 25% ROI)