
Cincinnati Reds
@

New York Yankees
+160O/U: 9.5
(-110/-110)-185
(-110/-110)-185
Cincinnati Reds Insights
- Andrew Abbott – Over/Under 17.5 Pitching Outs (-115/-115)Recording 93 adjusted pitches per start this year on average, Andrew Abbott ranks in the 82nd percentile.Explain: Pitchers who average more pitches per game are more likely to go deeper into games and record more outs.
- Cincinnati Reds – 2H MoneylineThe Cincinnati Reds bullpen grades out as the 4th-worst in Major League Baseball, via the leading projection system (THE BAT).Explain: Most bettors only consider the starting pitcher, but a weak bullpen sneakily creates an easier matchup for the opposing offense and boosts a game’s runs.
New York Yankees Insights
- Will Warren – Over/Under 5.5 Strikeouts (-160/+125)Because of his large platoon split, Will Warren will benefit from being matched up with 6 bats in the projected offense who share his handedness in today’s outing.Explain: Right-handed pitchers perform better against right-handed hitters (and the same for lefties). Having this advantage against a lot of opposing hitters can have a huge impact on whether a pitcher will perform well or struggle on any given day.
- Amed Rosario – Over/Under 0.5 Hits (-220/+165)The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Amed Rosario in the 97th percentile when it comes to his batting average skill.Explain: THE BAT X is a highly sophisticated projection system that accounts for a multitude of factors and regularly tests among the most accurate systems available. Batting average is the most common measure of a player’s ability to generate hits.
- Anthony Volpe – Over/Under 0.5 Total Bases (-145/+110)Anthony Volpe hits many of his flyballs to center field (39.7% — 97th percentile) and will be challenged by the league’s 5th-deepest CF fences in today’s game.Explain: This player’s skill set does not match up particularly well with the park he’s in today, which may lead to worse-than-usual performance.
