
Cincinnati Reds
@

New York Yankees
+170O/U: 9.5
(-110/-110)-200
(-110/-110)-200
Cincinnati Reds Insights
- Andrew Abbott – Over/Under 16.5 Pitching Outs (-130/+100)Recording 93 adjusted pitches per start this year on average, Andrew Abbott ranks in the 82nd percentile.Explain: Pitchers who average more pitches per game are more likely to go deeper into games and record more outs.
- Cincinnati Reds – 2H MoneylineThe Cincinnati Reds bullpen grades out as the 4th-worst in Major League Baseball, via the leading projection system (THE BAT).Explain: Most bettors only consider the starting pitcher, but a weak bullpen sneakily creates an easier matchup for the opposing offense and boosts a game’s runs.
New York Yankees Insights
- Will Warren – Over/Under 5.5 Strikeouts (-140/+110)Because of his large platoon split, Will Warren will benefit from being matched up with 6 bats in the projected offense who share his handedness in today’s outing.Explain: Right-handed pitchers perform better against right-handed hitters (and the same for lefties). Having this advantage against a lot of opposing hitters can have a huge impact on whether a pitcher will perform well or struggle on any given day.
- Amed Rosario – Over/Under 0.5 Hits (-265/+200)The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Amed Rosario in the 97th percentile when it comes to his batting average skill.Explain: THE BAT X is a highly sophisticated projection system that accounts for a multitude of factors and regularly tests among the most accurate systems available. Batting average is the most common measure of a player’s ability to generate hits.
- Anthony Volpe – Over/Under 0.5 Total Bases (-160/+125)Anthony Volpe hits many of his flyballs to center field (39.7% — 97th percentile) and will be challenged by the league’s 5th-deepest CF fences in today’s game.Explain: This player’s skill set does not match up particularly well with the park he’s in today, which may lead to worse-than-usual performance.
Betting Trends
- New York Yankees – Run Line -1.5 (-110)The New York Yankees have hit the Run Line in 14 of their last 25 games at home (+6.90 Units / 27% ROI)
- Over/Under 9.5 Game Total (-110/-110)The Cincinnati Reds have hit the Game Total Over in 31 of their last 50 games (+9.95 Units / 18% ROI)
- Jasson Dominguez – Over/Under 1.5 Total Bases (+130/-170)Jasson Dominguez has hit the Total Bases Over in 4 of his last 5 games (+4.15 Units / 83% ROI)
