How to Watch the Yankees vs White Sox Game - Thursday July 30, 2026

-110O/U: 7.5
(+100/-120)-110

Ryan Weathers – Over/Under 6.5 Strikeouts (+115/-150)
Ryan Weathers’s 95.2-mph velocity on his fastball this season is a substantial 1-mph fall off from last year’s 96.2-mph figure.
Explain: Velocity is a key component to fastball success in generating strikeouts and preventing runs, so a pitcher whose velocity decreases will likely see worse results.
Spencer Jones – Over/Under 0.5 Hits (-120/-110)
Spencer Jones has primarily hit in the back-half of the lineup this season (81% of the time), but he is projected to hit 5th in the batting order in this game.
Explain: The higher in the order a player bats, the more plate appearances he will get and the more opportunities he will get to hit the Over for every market. A player who hits higher in the order than he normally does may provide extra value opportunity since the market may be based on him hitting lower.
The New York Yankees have 3 bats in their projected batting order today with a high (i.e. over 27%) underlying K% (via the leading projection system, THE BAT X) (Ryan McMahon, Spencer Jones, Jazz Chisholm Jr.).
Explain: Teams that have multiple high-strikeout hitters will make it much easier for the opposing pitcher to record strikeouts

Sean Burke – Over/Under 17.5 Pitching Outs (-135/+105)
Throwing 92.3 adjusted pitches per outing this year on average, Sean Burke falls in the 82nd percentile.
Explain: Pitchers who average more pitches per game are more likely to go deeper into games and record more outs.
Miguel Vargas – Over/Under 1.5 Total Bases (+115/-150)
Miguel Vargas has seen a big improvement in his exit velocity of late; just compare his 96.8-mph average in the past week to his seasonal 90.7-mph mark.
Explain: Hitting the ball hard increases the chances of either a home run or the ball landing in fair territory for a hit before a fielder can get to it.
Chicago White Sox hitters jointly grade out 7th- in the game for power this year when assessing with their 8.8% Barrel%.
Explain: Barrel% measures how often a player hits the ball at the optimal exit velocity and launch angle and is a terrific measure of underlying power.

Chicago White Sox – Moneyline (-110)
The Chicago White Sox have hit the Moneyline in 23 of their last 35 games at home (+11.80 Units / 29% ROI)
New York Yankees – Over/Under 1.5 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total (-125/-105)
The New York Yankees have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 28 of their last 45 games (+9.10 Units / 17% ROI)
Paul Goldschmidt – Over/Under 1.5 Hits Runs and RBIs (+105/-135)
Paul Goldschmidt has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Over in 17 of his last 25 away games (+7.40 Units / 24% ROI)

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