How to Watch the Yankees vs White Sox Game – Thursday July 30, 2026

New York Yankees

@

Chicago White Sox

New York Yankees Insights

• Ryan Weathers – Over/Under 5.5 Strikeouts (-155/+120)
  Ryan Weathers’s 95.2-mph velocity on his fastball this season is a substantial 1-mph fall off from last year’s 96.2-mph figure.
  Explain: Velocity is a key component to fastball success in generating strikeouts and preventing runs, so a pitcher whose velocity decreases will likely see worse results.
• Spencer Jones – Over/Under 0.5 Hits (-120/-110)
  Spencer Jones has primarily hit in the back-half of the lineup this season (84% of the time), but he is projected to hit 5th in the batting order in this game.
  Explain: The higher in the order a player bats, the more plate appearances he will get and the more opportunities he will get to hit the Over for every market. A player who hits higher in the order than he normally does may provide extra value opportunity since the market may be based on him hitting lower.
• The New York Yankees have 3 bats in their projected batting order today with a high (i.e. over 27%) underlying K% (via the leading projection system, THE BAT X) (Ryan McMahon, Jazz Chisholm Jr., Spencer Jones).
  Explain: Teams that have multiple high-strikeout hitters will make it much easier for the opposing pitcher to record strikeouts

Chicago White Sox Insights

• Sean Burke – Over/Under 17.5 Pitching Outs (-130/+100)
  Throwing 92.3 adjusted pitches per outing this year on average, Sean Burke falls in the 82nd percentile.
  Explain: Pitchers who average more pitches per game are more likely to go deeper into games and record more outs.
• Munetaka Murakami – Over/Under 0.5 Total Bases (-155/+120)
  Munetaka Murakami has been hot of late, raising his seasonal exit velocity of 94-mph to 97.2-mph in the past week’s worth of games.
  Explain: Hitting the ball hard increases the chances of either a home run or the ball landing in fair territory for a hit before a fielder can get to it.
• Chicago White Sox – 2H Moneyline
  The Chicago White Sox bullpen profiles as the 10th-best in MLB, via the leading projection system (THE BAT).
  Explain: Most bettors only consider the starting pitcher, but a strong bullpen sneakily creates a tougher matchup for the opposing offense and suppresses a game’s runs.

Betting Trends

• Chicago White Sox – Moneyline (-110)
  The Chicago White Sox have hit the Moneyline in 23 of their last 35 games at home (+11.80 Units / 29% ROI)
• New York Yankees – Over/Under 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total
  The New York Yankees have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 28 of their last 45 games (+9.10 Units / 17% ROI)
• Trent Grisham – Over/Under 1.5 Total Bases (+140/-185)
  Trent Grisham has hit the Total Bases Under in 8 of his last 9 games (+7.10 Units / 55% ROI)