Live Stream Details for White Sox vs Guardians – Sunday, July 05, 2026

Chicago White Sox

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Cleveland Guardians

Chicago White Sox Insights

• Colson Montgomery – Over/Under 0.5 Total Bases (-150/+115)
  Colson Montgomery has been cold in recent games, with his seasonal exit velocity of 89.7-mph dropping to 85-mph over the past week.
  Explain: Hitting the ball hard increases the chances of either a home run or the ball landing in fair territory for a hit before a fielder can get to it.
• It may be smart to expect negative regression for the Chicago White Sox offense the rest of the season, given that the leading projection system (THE BAT X) believes they are the 5th-luckiest offense in Major League Baseball this year.
  Explain: When teams overperform their projected talent level, markets may overvalue them even while they are likely to perform worse in the near future.

Cleveland Guardians Insights

• Tanner Bibee – Over/Under 4.5 Strikeouts (-145/+110)
  Out of all SPs, Tanner Bibee’s fastball spin rate of 2155 rpm ranks in the 18th percentile this year.
  Explain: Spin rate is a key component to fastball success in generating strikeouts and preventing runs.
• David Fry – Over/Under Hits
  In terms of his batting average, David Fry has experienced some positive variance since the start of last season. His .193 BA has been a good deal higher than the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s version of Statcast-based Expected Batting Average (xBA) at .144.
  Explain: xBA uses highly advanced Statcast data to measure a player’s batting average ability more accurately than actual batting average can.
• Cleveland Guardians – 2H Moneyline
  The Cleveland Guardians bullpen projects as the 3rd-best in baseball, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT).
  Explain: Most bettors only consider the starting pitcher, but a strong bullpen sneakily creates a tougher matchup for the opposing offense and suppresses a game’s runs.

Betting Trends

• Cleveland Guardians – Over/Under 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total
  The Cleveland Guardians have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 12 of their last 19 games (+5.30 Units / 24% ROI)
• Chicago White Sox – Over/Under 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total
  The Chicago White Sox have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 30 of their last 50 away games (+7.65 Units / 12% ROI)
• Travis Bazzana – Over/Under 0.5 Hits (-225/+170)
  Travis Bazzana has hit the Hits Under in 9 of his last 15 games at home (+8.65 Units / 58% ROI)