Phillies vs Braves Game Time – 9/13/2026

Philadelphia Phillies

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Atlanta Braves

Philadelphia Phillies Insights

• Andrew Painter – Over/Under 3.5 Strikeouts (-160/+125)
  Andrew Painter’s 95.9-mph fastball velocity this year is in the 89th percentile out of all starters.
  Explain: Velocity is a key component to fastball success in generating strikeouts and preventing runs.
• Bryce Harper – Over/Under 1.5 Total Bases (+120/-155)
  Bryce Harper has seen a sizeable improvement in his exit velocity lately; just compare his 95.7-mph average in the last 7 days to his seasonal 90.5-mph average.
  Explain: Hitting the ball hard increases the chances of either a home run or the ball landing in fair territory for a hit before a fielder can get to it.
• Bryson Stott – Over/Under 1.5 Total Bases (+145/-190)
  Bryson Stott hits many of his flyballs to center field (39.8% — 97th percentile) and will have a big advantage facing MLB’s 5th-shallowest CF fences in today’s game.
  Explain: This player’s skill set matches up particularly well with the park he’s in today, which may lead to better-than-usual performance.

Atlanta Braves Insights

• Grant Holmes – Over/Under 14.5 Pitching Outs (-170/+130)
  Considering both his underlying tendencies and the matchup, Grant Holmes is projected to throw 83 pitches in today’s game by the leading projection system (THE BAT X) system, which is the 9th-least of all pitchers on the slate today.
  Explain: Pitchers who throw relatively few pitches are more likely to get pulled from the game earlier, record fewer outs, and generate fewer strikeouts.
• Atlanta Braves – Moneyline (-130)
  The 5th-best projected lineup on the slate in terms of overall batting skill is that of the the Atlanta Braves.
  Explain: A pitcher who faces a strong opposing offense will be more likely to underperform his usual performance, particularly in terms of hits and runs, in that game.