Read the Boxscore for White Sox vs Orioles - Monday June 29th, 2026

+115O/U: 9
(-110/-110)-140

Sean Burke – Over/Under 5.5 Strikeouts (-110/-120)
Out of all starting pitchers, Sean Burke’s fastball spin rate of 2560 rpm ranks in the 95th percentile this year.
Explain: Spin rate is a key component to fastball success in generating strikeouts and preventing runs.
Andrew Benintendi – Over/Under 1.5 Total Bases (+135/-175)
Andrew Benintendi has seen a substantial gain in his exit velocity in recent games; just compare his 92.8-mph average over the past two weeks to his seasonal 89.7-mph mark.
Explain: Hitting the ball hard increases the chances of either a home run or the ball landing in fair territory for a hit before a fielder can get to it.
Colson Montgomery – Over/Under 1.5 Total Bases (+115/-150)
Colson Montgomery pulls a high percentage of his flyballs (40.8% — 98th percentile) and has the good fortune of hitting them towards baseball’s shallowest RF fences in today’s matchup.
Explain: This player’s skill set matches up particularly well with the park he’s in today, which may lead to better-than-usual performance.

Shane Baz – Over/Under 17.5 Pitching Outs (-145/+115)
Shane Baz has been given a longer leash than the average pitcher this year, recording 6.9 more adjusted pitches-per-outing than the average hurler.
Explain: Pitchers with a longer leash are more likely to go deeper into games and record more outs.
Tyler O’Neill – Over/Under Total Bases
Typically, hitters like Tyler O’Neill who hit a lot of groundballs usually hit worse when facing pitchers who also induce a lot of groundballs such as Sean Burke.
Explain: This mostly has to do with the way the hitter’s swing plane interacts with the pitch trajectory, and it can create diminished performance across all categories and hidden value few are considering.
The Baltimore Orioles have 4 hitters in their projected lineup today with a high (i.e. over 27%) underlying K% (via the leading projection system, THE BAT X) (Tyler O’Neill, Blaze Alexander, Colton Cowser, Coby Mayo).
Explain: Teams that have multiple high-strikeout hitters will make it much easier for the opposing pitcher to record strikeouts

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