Read the Boxscore for White Sox vs Orioles - Monday June 29th, 2026

+115O/U: 9.5
(+100/-120)-135

Sean Burke – Over/Under 5.5 Strikeouts (-110/-120)
Out of all starting pitchers, Sean Burke’s fastball spin rate of 2560 rpm ranks in the 95th percentile this year.
Explain: Spin rate is a key component to fastball success in generating strikeouts and preventing runs.
Randal Grichuk – Over/Under 1.5 Total Bases (+135/-175)
Randal Grichuk has seen a significant increase in his exit velocity of late; just compare his 94.6-mph average over the last 14 days to his seasonal 91-mph average.
Explain: Hitting the ball hard increases the chances of either a home run or the ball landing in fair territory for a hit before a fielder can get to it.
Colson Montgomery – Over/Under 1.5 Total Bases (+110/-140)
Colson Montgomery pulls a high percentage of his flyballs (40.8% — 98th percentile) and has the good fortune of hitting them towards baseball’s shallowest RF fences in today’s matchup.
Explain: This player’s skill set matches up particularly well with the park he’s in today, which may lead to better-than-usual performance.

Shane Baz – Over/Under 17.5 Pitching Outs (-150/+115)
Shane Baz has been given a longer leash than the average pitcher this year, recording 6.9 more adjusted pitches-per-outing than the average hurler.
Explain: Pitchers with a longer leash are more likely to go deeper into games and record more outs.
Blaze Alexander – Over/Under 1.5 Total Bases (+155/-200)
Hitters such as Blaze Alexander with extreme groundball tendencies are usually more effective when facing pitchers like Sean Burke who skew towards the flyball end of the spectrum.
Explain: This mostly has to do with the way the hitter’s swing plane interacts with the pitch trajectory, and it can create boosted performance across all categories and hidden value few are considering.
Baltimore Orioles – Moneyline (-135)
The Baltimore Orioles projected offense profiles as the 2nd-best of all teams on the slate in terms of overall batting skill.
Explain: A pitcher who faces a strong opposing offense will be more likely to underperform his usual performance, particularly in terms of hits and runs, in that game.

Baltimore Orioles – Over/Under 2.5 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total (+100/-130)
The Baltimore Orioles have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 13 of their last 19 games at home (+7.15 Units / 32% ROI)
Chicago White Sox – Over/Under 2.5 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total (+115/-145)
The Chicago White Sox have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 26 of their last 40 games (+10.50 Units / 22% ROI)
Miguel Vargas – Over/Under 0.5 Home Runs (+305/-440)
Miguel Vargas has hit the Home Runs Over in 3 of his last 5 games (+10.00 Units / 200% ROI)

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