Discover the Game Time for Nationals vs Orioles – Sunday June 28, 2026

Washington Nationals

@

Baltimore Orioles

Washington Nationals Insights

• Zack Littell – Over/Under Pitching Outs
  Zack Littell has been given a below-average leash this year, throwing 9.1 fewer adjusted pitches-per-game than the average hurler.
  Explain: Pitchers with a shorter leash are more likely to get pulled earlier in games and record fewer outs.
• Jose Tena – Over/Under 0.5 Hits (-160/+125)
  Jose Tena is projected to hit 3rd in the batting order in this game, which would be an upgrade from his 71% rate of hitting in the bottom-half of the lineup this season.
  Explain: The higher in the order a player bats, the more plate appearances he will get and the more opportunities he will get to hit the Over for every market. A player who hits higher in the order than he normally does may provide extra value opportunity since the market may be based on him hitting lower.
• James Wood – Over/Under 1.5 Total Bases (+120/-155)
  James Wood has a 99th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (40.5%) and has the misfortune of hitting them in the direction of baseball’s 4th-deepest LF fences today.
  Explain: This player’s skill set does not match up particularly well with the park he’s in today, which may lead to worse-than-usual performance.

Baltimore Orioles Insights

• Kyle Bradish – Over/Under 5.5 Strikeouts (-155/+120)
  With 8 batters who bat from the other side in the opposing team’s projected lineup, Kyle Bradish will be in a tough position while lacking the platoon advantage in most plate appearances in this matchup.
  Explain: Right-handed pitchers perform worse against left-handed hitters (and visa-versa). If several hitters hold this advantage against the pitcher, it can have a huge impact on whether he will perform well or struggle on any given day.
• Colton Cowser – Over/Under 1.5 Total Bases (+160/-205)
  Colton Cowser has been cold lately, with his seasonal exit velocity of 85.9-mph dropping to 81.1-mph in the past week.
  Explain: Hitting the ball hard increases the chances of either a home run or the ball landing in fair territory for a hit before a fielder can get to it.
• Compared to their .333 overall projected rate, the .322 the leading projection system (THE BAT X) wOBA of the Baltimore Orioles projected offense in this game suggests this version of the lineup considerably weaker than usual.
  Explain: Betting lines are often based on seasonal team quality. If today’s lineup is watered down, however, there may be value if markets aren’t accounting for the lower quality of this offense.