Game Location for Mariners vs Guardians - 6/28/26

-110O/U: 7.5
(-110/-110)-110

Seattle Mariners – Moneyline (-110)
Among every team on the slate today, the 3rd-worst outfield defense belongs to the Seattle Mariners.
Explain: Defense is an integral part of preventing (or, in this case, allowing) hits and runs.
Luke Raley – Over/Under 1.5 Total Bases (+205/-280)
Luke Raley has seen a substantial improvement in his exit velocity of late; just compare his 97.8-mph average in the last 7 days to his seasonal 91.1-mph average.
Explain: Hitting the ball hard increases the chances of either a home run or the ball landing in fair territory for a hit before a fielder can get to it.
Cal Raleigh – Over/Under 0.5 Total Bases (-150/+115)
Cal Raleigh pulls many of his flyballs (43.9% — 100th percentile) and has the good fortune of hitting them towards baseball’s 6th-shallowest RF fences in today’s game.
Explain: This player’s skill set matches up particularly well with the park he’s in today, which may lead to better-than-usual performance.

Gavin Williams – Over/Under 17.5 Pitching Outs (-145/+110)
Gavin Williams has been given more leash than the typical pitcher this year, tallying 4.2 more adjusted pitches-per-game than the average starting pitcher.
Explain: Pitchers with a longer leash are more likely to go deeper into games and record more outs.
Kyle Manzardo – Over/Under 1.5 Total Bases (+135/-180)
Kyle Manzardo is an extreme flyball batter and matches up with the weak outfield defense of Seattle (#3-worst of all teams today).
Explain: This player’s skill set matches up well with the opposing team’s defensive weakness, which may lead to better-than-usual performance.
Gavin Williams – Over/Under 6.5 Strikeouts (-130/+100)
Patrick Bailey, the Guardians’s expected catcher in today’s game, projects as an elite pitch framer according to the leading projection system (THE BAT).
Explain: Pitch framing is a catcher’s ability to make a ball look like a strike to the umpire, “stealing” strikes for his pitcher. This leads to more positive outcomes (like strikeouts) and fewer negative ones (like walks or earned runs).

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