Find Betting Odds and Bets for Mariners vs Pirates – June 24th, 2026

Seattle Mariners

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Pittsburgh Pirates

Seattle Mariners Insights

• Bryan Woo – Over/Under 5.5 Strikeouts (+100/-130)
  Contrary to popular belief, fastballs are generally a pitcher’s least effective pitch. Bryan Woo has utilized his off-speed and breaking pitches 6.3% more often this season (33.5%) than he did last year (27.2%).
  Explain: A pitcher who limits has fastball usage will instead heavily use change-ups, curveballs, sliders, etc. These are far more effective pitches at preventing runs and generating strikeouts.
• J.P. Crawford – Over/Under 1.5 Total Bases (+165/-215)
  J.P. Crawford has struggled with his Barrel% of late; his 8.8% seasonal rate has decreased to 0% over the past 7 days.
  Explain: Barrel% measures how often a player hits the ball at the optimal exit velocity and launch angle and is a terrific measure of underlying power.
• Seattle’s 92.7-mph exit velocity on flyballs makes them the #8 group of hitters in the game this year by this metric.
  Explain: Most home runs are flyballs, and the harder those flyballs are hit, the more often they turn into home runs. This is a strong indicator of power.

Pittsburgh Pirates Insights

• Braxton Ashcraft – Over/Under 5.5 Strikeouts (-145/+110)
  Out of all starting pitchers, Braxton Ashcraft’s fastball velocity of 96.4 mph grades out in the 90th percentile this year.
  Explain: Velocity is a key component to fastball success in generating strikeouts and preventing runs.
• Jake Mangum – Over/Under 1.5 Total Bases (+155/-205)
  Jake Mangum’s average exit velocity has decreased this season; his 87.4-mph figure last season has fallen to 83.7-mph.
  Explain: Hitting the ball hard increases the chances of either a home run or the ball landing in fair territory for a hit before a fielder can get to it.
• Ryan O’Hearn – Over/Under 1.5 Total Bases (+140/-180)
  Ryan O’Hearn has a 90th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (35.3%) and has the misfortune of hitting them towards the game’s 10th-deepest LF fences today.
  Explain: This player’s skill set does not match up particularly well with the park he’s in today, which may lead to worse-than-usual performance.

Betting Trends

• Over/Under 7.5 Game Total (-110/-110)
  The Pittsburgh Pirates have hit the Game Total Over in 15 of their last 23 games at home (+6.50 Units / 26% ROI)
• Seattle Mariners – Over/Under 3.5 Team Total (-125/-105)
  The Seattle Mariners have hit the Team Total Under in 25 of their last 40 away games (+6.80 Units / 14% ROI)