See the Odds and Betting Tips for Phillies vs Mariners - August 25th, 2026

-105O/U: 7.5
(-115/-105)-115

Aaron Nola – Over/Under 17.5 Pitching Outs (-120/-110)
Aaron Nola has averaged 91.9 adjusted pitches per start this year, ranking in the 79th percentile.
Explain: Pitchers who average more pitches per game are more likely to go deeper into games and record more outs.
Brandon Marsh – Over/Under 0.5 Hits (-180/+140)
Brandon Marsh has primarily hit in the top-half of the lineup this year (66% of the time), but he is projected to bat 7th on the lineup card in this game.
Explain: The lower in the order a player bats, the fewer plate appearances he will get and the fewer opportunities he will get to hit the Over for every market. A player who hits lower in the order than he normally does may provide extra value opportunity since the market may be based on him hitting higher.
Kyle Schwarber – Over/Under 1.5 Total Bases (+120/-150)
Kyle Schwarber pulls many of his flyballs (43.7% — 100th percentile) and sets up very well considering he’ll be hitting them towards the league’s 4th-shallowest RF fences today.
Explain: This player’s skill set matches up particularly well with the park he’s in today, which may lead to better-than-usual performance.

George Kirby – Over/Under 4.5 Strikeouts (-145/+110)
The Philadelphia Phillies have 6 batters in the projected batting order that will have the handedness advantage against George Kirby in today’s game.
Explain: Right-handed pitchers perform worse against left-handed hitters (and visa-versa). If several hitters hold this advantage against the pitcher, it can have a huge impact on whether he will perform well or struggle on any given day.
George Kirby – Over/Under 4.5 Strikeouts (-145/+110)
Projected catcher Cal Raleigh projects as an elite pitch framer, per the leading projection system (THE BAT).
Explain: Pitch framing is a catcher’s ability to make a ball look like a strike to the umpire, “stealing” strikes for his pitcher. This leads to more positive outcomes (like strikeouts) and fewer negative ones (like walks or earned runs).

Seattle Mariners – Over/Under 2.5 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total (+125/-160)
The Seattle Mariners have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 9 of their last 11 games (+7.20 Units / 53% ROI)
Philadelphia Phillies – Moneyline (-105)
The Philadelphia Phillies have hit the Moneyline in 11 of their last 14 games (+6.55 Units / 27% ROI)
Randy Arozarena – Over/Under 0.5 Home Runs (+580/-1100)
Randy Arozarena has hit the Home Runs Over in 3 of his last 8 games (+11.60 Units / 145% ROI)

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